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The Bean Counter
Crystal Palace · Financial Compliance · 2026/27

Probably one of the greatest injustices that has ever happened in European football — we won a trophy on the pitch and lost a competition in a boardroom.

— Steve Parish on the Europa League demotion · July 2025 (paraphrased from his public remarks)
Crystal Palace official crest

The Bean Counter · Crystal Palace

2026/27 PRE-SEASON
South London and Proud
Football has become a game of bean counting — so here's the abacus. PSR · UEFA Squad Cost Ratio · Football Earnings Rule · transfer balance · book values · the 70% squeeze, tracked

State of Play

Crystal Palace's estimated squad cost ratio is 73.4% against the 70% limit that applies to clubs in UEFA competition, putting them roughly £10.3m/yr OVER the line. Selling Daniel Muñoz to Nottingham Forest for £20m on 30 August roughly halved an overshoot that Axel Disasi's loan arrival had doubled four days earlier. The summer 2026 window stands at £77.0m banked from sales against £32.1m committed on signings. Every figure here is this tracker's own estimate, built from published accounts and media reporting, as reported 2 Sept 2026.

Squad Cost Ratio · Estimated
/ 70%
70% wall · 100% red line
Success has a price: winning the Conference League put Palace on the 70% cap — UEFA on calendar 2026, the Premier League on season 2026/27. Both are estimates; Palace have never been found in breach of anything.
Window Net Balance
sales minus buys, confirmed + advanced — Lacroix £52m and Imray ~£5m in; the first fee is finally out the door: £21m for Khalaili, announced 15 Aug, with ~£10m for Gozo agreed behind it
List A Churn
·
Conference-winning list → projected Europa League list: Mingueza and Tomiyasu signed, Gozo agreed at ~£10m (medical), plus B→A academy grads. Disasi announced 26 Aug; Le Guen and Njie still unagreed
Sanctions Ledger
£0 FINES EVER
no PSR charge, no UEFA fine — the 2025 demotion was ownership, not money, and it's resolved

The Clock — What's Counting Down

DAYS TO SAUDI WINDOW CLOSE
6 SEP
DAYS TO EL LIST A DEADLINE
~2 SEP · UEFA
DAYS TO PL SCR CHECKPOINT
OCT 2026
DAYS TO UEFA RATIO FREEZE + PSR FILING
31 DEC · CALENDAR 2026

The Six Regulations — Pass / Fail / Room Left

PL PSR
Never Close
EST USAGE: ~£12m of the £105m 3-yr loss allowance (FY24 −£35.6m, FY25 +£8.3m, FY26 est positive on the Eze/Guehi profits) — before allowable deductions.
ROOM: est £90m+ · cycle ended 30 Jun 2026 · final-ever test Jan 2027, then the rule retires. Palace have never been charged.
UEFA SCR
Just Inside · EST
NOW: vs the 70% limit on this tracker's estimates · no breach found, no fine — 2025/26 was Palace's first season under UEFA's cost rule.
ROOM: /yr — the Disasi loan (26 Aug) added ~£9.0m/yr of grossed wages with no fee and no amortisation, and tipped a ratio that had been sitting just inside the cap. The Lacroix profit (~£43m) lands inside calendar 2026 and does the heavy lifting on the denominator, and the collapse of the ~£26m Matsima deal took ~£5m/yr of amortisation straight back out of the numerator.
FER
Comfortable
LIMIT: ~£52m (€60m) max UEFA-basis loss over 3 yrs. Palace's aggregate is positive on FY25's +£8.3m and the FY26 sale profits — no intra-group tricks needed.
ROOM: the selling model IS the compliance strategy — £48m of new sale profit this window (Lacroix ~£43m plus the Imray exit, both £0-to-low book value), on top of the £150m+ banked from Olise, Eze and Guehi since 2024.
PL SCR
Not Yet Tested
PROJECTED: vs the 70% green line that applies to European qualifiers (red at 100%) · season basis. Palace voted AGAINST this rule — then qualified into its tightest tier.
ROOM: of cost/yr · first checkpoint Oct 2026, assessment 1 Mar 2027 · levies only bite from 2027/28.
Multi-Club Ownership
Resolved
THE ONE SANCTION IN THE HISTORY: demoted EL → Conference in Jul 2025 over Textor's Palace + Lyon stakes (assessment date 1 Mar 2025); CAS upheld it in August.
NOW: Textor sold to Woody Johnson (£190m, 45%) — no common-control conflict for 2026/27. Palace answered the demotion by winning the whole competition.
Loan Quotas (In · Senior)
1 + 6 Left
DOMESTIC (English clubs): 1 of 2 concurrent remaining — Guessand back in on a season loan from Aston Villa (official 12 Aug; the Uche and Guessand loans from last season ended in June) · season cap of 4 · never more than 1 from the same club · max 1 GK between PL clubs.
INTERNATIONAL (FIFA): 6 of 6 SENIOR remaining — counts only over-21, non-club-trained players; U21 & club-trained loans are exempt entirely · max 3 from any single club.
ROOM: one domestic slot left and all six international. Guessand holds the other domestic place, so a late-window loan — the classic Palace deadline-day move — is still available on every axis, but the domestic one is now single-use and cannot be a second Villa loanee while he is here.

Quick Answers — Palace's Finances in Plain English

Are Crystal Palace in trouble with FFP in 2026?

No — and they never have been. No PSR charge, no UEFA fine, no settlement. The one sanction in the club's history was the July 2025 demotion from the Europa League to the Conference League over multi-club ownership — an ownership rule, not a spending one, resolved when John Textor sold to Woody Johnson. The live issue for 2026/27 is different: as a European qualifier, Palace's squad cost is capped at roughly 70% of football revenue, and this tracker's estimates put them within a point of that line — currently just inside it.

What is Crystal Palace's squad cost ratio right now?

Roughly 69% on this tracker's estimates as at 9 August — just inside the line, and only just. Squad cost of ~£204m (wages + amortisation + agent fees) on a denominator of ~£295m (revenue plus average player-sale profit). It sat fractionally over 70% in late July; the ~£26m Matsima deal collapsing removed ~£5m/yr of amortisation before it was ever booked, and the ~£10m Gozo deal agreed on 8 August would add back only ~£4m/yr all-in once completed. That's how fine the margins are — and the underlying pressure is unchanged: £83m spent on Johnson and Strand Larsen in one January, on a revenue base under £230m. UEFA tests calendar 2026 (freezing 31 December); the PL tests the 2026/27 season with an October checkpoint. Nobody has found Palace in breach of anything — these are estimates.

Why were Palace demoted from the Europa League in 2025?

John Textor's Eagle Football held stakes in both Palace and Lyon when both qualified for the 2025/26 Europa League. UEFA's multi-club assessment date was 1 March 2025 — before Textor sold his 43% to Woody Johnson for a reported £190m — so the CFCB ruled Palace non-compliant and dropped them to the Conference League. CAS upheld it in August 2025; Nottingham Forest took the Europa League place. Palace's answer: they won the Conference League.

Did Crystal Palace pass the Premier League's PSR?

Comfortably, every single cycle. The 2023/24–2025/26 window that closed on 30 June combines an FY24 loss of £35.6m, an FY25 profit of £8.3m, and an estimated FY26 profit built on the Eze (£67.5m) and Guehi (£20m) sales plus ~£17.5m of Conference League prize money — an estimated £90m+ inside the £105m allowance before deductions. The final-ever assessment is January 2027.

Can Palace still sign players this summer?

Yes — there is no registration restriction of any kind on Palace. The constraint is arithmetic, not legal: with the ratio at the 70% wall, each signing needs funding from the Lacroix money or a further sale. And Palace have only just started spending it. Mingueza arrived free in July; Tomiyasu was announced on 7 August, also free; and the first actual fee of the summer was agreed on 8 August — ~£10m to Real Salt Lake for the 19-year-old Zavier Gozo, announced by both clubs on 18 August. The centre-back hole is filled: Axel Disasi was announced by both clubs on 26 August, with neither option nor obligation attached in the end. Le Guen remains bid-rejected at Brest and the improved ~€19m package for Torino's Njie is being weighed — both are Rumour Mill items, not deals. The ~£26m Matsima deal collapsed on 30 July and stays dead.

Will Palace have to sell Adam Wharton?

Not this summer, on current reporting — Liverpool's interest cooled at the ~£100m valuation, Manchester United have been linked without bidding, and Chelsea are now reported to have joined the queue and even to fancy their chances — but with just over three weeks of the window left no offer has landed, and Palace's public position is that Wharton is not for sale while Sage builds for Europe. The club are relaxed. But the bean-counting logic is permanent: his book value is barely £10m, so a £100m sale would book ~£90m of near-pure profit, transforming every ratio at once. In the squad-cost era, Wharton is Palace's single biggest compliance asset as well as their best midfielder.

The whole thing in two sentences: Palace's books are clean — the danger isn't a fine for the past, it's the 70% squad-cost cap that success just dragged them into. This window's £48m+ of sale profit — against a cost swing that turned positive (+£11.7m/yr) once Khalaili’s £21m on 15 August and the ~£10m agreed for Gozo on 8 August landed — is how they hold the line; the detail lives in the other tabs.

Incomings & Outgoings

Summer 2026 window (opened 15 June, closes 1 September — delayed by the World Cup). Pierre Sage's first window. Fees per media reports. A deal enters this table at a medical and not before: ADVANCED means terms agreed and the medical taken or booked, DONE means a club has announced it. Anything short of that is interest, however well sourced, and interest lives on the Rumours tab.

Summer 2026 — Out

PlayerToFee £mWage £k/wkCost freed £m/yrProfit £mStatus

Summer 2026 — In

PlayerFromFee £mWage £k/wkSCR cost £m/yrStatus
Fees Out (sales)
Confirmed + advanced permanent deals
Fees Committed (buys)
Confirmed + advanced permanent deals
Net Window Balance
Sales minus buys — positive = the window pays for itself
Annual Cost Freed (outs)
Wages + stopped amortisation leaving both SCR numerators
Annual Cost Added (ins)
Fee÷5 amortisation + wages + ~10% agent fee
Net SCR Swing
Change to the annual squad-cost numerator from this window
How the columns map to the rules: SCR cost / Cost freed hits the numerator of BOTH the UEFA 70% and PL 70% ratios (identical cost base, different clocks) · Profit feeds the FER earnings calculation AND both SCR denominators · Fee moves the window's net balance. Wages are estimates.
One big sale funds the window, again — and nearly six weeks on, barely a tenth of it is committed. Lacroix cost £18m in 2024 and left for £52m with only ~£9m left on the books: roughly £43m of accounting profit landing in the FER calculation and both SCR denominators inside calendar 2026, with the ~£5m Imray sale to Wrexham (academy, £0 book) adding almost the same again in pure profit. Against it: Mingueza (free, July), Tomiyasu (free, announced 7 August — contract length undisclosed), and at last a fee — ~£10m agreed with Real Salt Lake for 19-year-old Zavier Gozo on 8 August, announced by both clubs on 18 August. The ~£26m Matsima deal stayed dead after collapsing on 30 July, and the centre-back hole is now being worked via a loan-with-obligation offer for Chelsea's Disasi (submitted, not agreed). Even with Gozo in, the effect on the ratio is the same shape: a window that is reducing Palace's annual squad cost while banking ~£48m of profit.

2025/26 Season — In (Summer 25 + Jan 26)

PlayerFromFee £mWindow

2025/26 Season — Out

PlayerToFee £mWindow
2025/26 was the biggest spending season in Palace's history — ~£134m gross, with a £83m January (Brennan Johnson £35m, then the £48m club-record Strand Larsen) landing on top of a £51m summer (Pino, Canvot, Sosa). The record fell twice in five weeks: Johnson beat Benteke's decade-old £32m on 3 January, Strand Larsen beat Johnson by the start of February. It was funded the Palace way: Eze (academy, ~100% profit before QPR's sell-on) and Guehi (nearly amortised, Chelsea sell-on) went for a combined £87.5m. Selling two England internationals paid for the squad that won a European trophy.

Spending Headroom

"Room" means two different clocks for Palace: the UEFA 70% squad cost ratio (calendar year 2026) and the PL SCR — which for clubs in Europe is ALSO capped at 70% (season basis, red threshold 100%). There is no registration gate on Palace — no settlement, no embargo — just arithmetic. The model below is adjustable — the defaults are my estimates, so put your own numbers in.

The window ledger — what funds what

Sales banked / advanced
Lacroix £52m (announced 30 Jul) + Imray ~£5m to Wrexham (undisclosed, ESPN figure)
Committed on signings
Gozo ~£10m (agreed 8 Aug, medical). Mingueza and Tomiyasu are both frees; Disasi announced 26 Aug and counted; Le Guen and Njie unagreed, so counted nowhere
Net balance left in the window
Most of the sale proceeds are still unspent — the practical budget for a centre-back and a midfielder with no further sales
The hidden asymmetry: the £52m Lacroix fee books ~£43m of profit at once, while the arrivals cost almost nothing in amortisation — Mingueza and Tomiyasu are frees, the Matsima collapse took its ~£5m/yr charge back off the books before it ever landed, and the agreed ~£10m Gozo deal would add only ~£2m/yr of amortisation once completed. On the ratio, this window is strongly positive for Palace — the squeeze comes from what's already on the books: the £48m club-record Strand Larsen deal amortising at ~£11m/yr and Johnson's £35m at ~£8m/yr, on top of the 2025 summer, on a revenue base that needs the Europa League run to grow into it.

The Fined Four — July 2026's CFCB Round, and Why Palace Aren't In It

Four English clubs were fined in UEFA's July 2026 decisions — the world Palace now share as a UEFA-licensed club. Palace's own UEFA fine ledger: £0. This table is the cautionary backdrop, not the club's record.

Club2026 FineSuspendedBreachSettlementExit Route
Aston Villa£19.4m£12.9mSCR 2025 ("significant") · 2nd straight4-yr to 2028/29 · £9.5m paid 2025 · trend formally ENDORSED£144m of player-sale profits + record Visit Rwanda deal — selling the squad's appreciation
Chelsea£2.6mSCR · repeat4-yr · £26.7m paid, up to £51m conditionalAcademy sales (pure profit) + intra-group hotel sales the PL accepted — and now the Rogers/Garnacho tightrope
Newcastle£2.6m + £8.6mBOTH SCR and FER — the doubleObligations continue despite missing EuropeIsak to Liverpool for £125m — one sale to rule the FY25 accounts
Nottingham Forest£2.2mSCRAnderson to City for £116m weeks later — fine dwarfed 53:1 by one transfer
The pattern across all four: every exit route runs through selling players. The rulebook fines you in millions and lets you settle in transfers. Palace should study the table rather than join it — and the Lacroix sale suggests the club already has.
Why this matters to a club with a clean sheet: UEFA's cost rule has no grace period for new arrivals in Europe — Palace's 2025/26 Conference League season already put them under the 70% regime, and the 2026/27 Europa League keeps them there. A first breach typically draws a fine scaled to the overshoot and a settlement with targets (see Villa's £5.2m for their first offence). The cheapest compliance strategy is never meeting the CFCB at all — which is what the sell-high/buy-cheap window is for.

Annual constraint — squad cost ratio model

Squad cost = player & coach wages + transfer amortisation + agent fees. Denominator = football revenue + player-trading profit (3-yr average, per UEFA's smoothing). Edit any figure:

UEFA SCR · limit 70%
limit 70%
PL SCR (in Europe) · green 70% · red 100%
green 70%

What-if: add a signing

Added annual squad cost
amortisation (incl. 4% PL levy) + wages + est. agent fee
UEFA ratio after signing
vs 70% limit
Window balance after fee
Net sales left once this deal lands
Rule of thumb: every £1m/yr of ratio headroom buys either ~£5m of transfer fee (5-yr amortisation) or ~£19k/week of wages. On the default assumptions Palace now sit fractionally under the 70% line — they were just over it before the Matsima deal collapsed — and the practical read is . The escape routes are the classic three: sell (a Mateta or Wharton exit moves both numerator and denominator the right way), grow revenue (a deep Europa League run is worth £20m+), or wait for the January amortisation bulge to age off.
Caveats: revenue projection assumes a Europa League league-phase campaign (~£25m+ if it goes well), full seasons of the 2026 sponsorship uplift, and matchday growth on FY25's £196.6m — none guaranteed. The wages figure is the SCR-relevant slice (players + head coach), not the £148.3m FY25 total staff bill grown for new deals — loan players count fully in the numerator through their wages, so keep any loanees inside the wage input. On agent fees: UEFA counts them as their own SCR category; our amortisation estimate is accounts-based and already contains the amortised slice of past capitalised agent fees, so pairing it with the separate £12m agents line double-counts a few £m — deliberately, as a conservative margin for a club living at the wall. UEFA's precise adjustments (which income lines qualify, FX, averaging mechanics) mean the true ratio will differ — treat this as a planning tool, not a compliance calculation.

Rumour Mill

The window shut at 11pm on 1 September 2026, and this tab is now mostly history. Nothing below can become an incoming transfer until January: a registration cannot be lodged outside the window, so every inbound link here is closed rather than pending, however well sourced it was. Three things the deadline does not close, which is why the cards are kept live rather than swept away. Free agents — a player already out of contract can be signed and registered outside the window. Outgoing moves abroad — several leagues closed later than England, so a player could still leave after English clubs had stopped buying: the Saudi Pro League runs to 6 September, the Süper Lig closed on 4 September and MLS on 2 September. Seven cards on this site point at one of those and are still live; every other card is now marked JANUARY and priced as a January deal rather than one that can happen today. Academy moves — an under-18 joining on training compensation is not moving a professional registration and is not bound by this deadline. Cards are left in place because a rumour that died at the deadline is a record of what was reported and what it was worth, and deleting them would quietly improve this site’s hit rate. The tick-box model still works: a JANUARY card prices what the deal would cost when the window reopens, which is the question actually worth asking about a link that survived the summer.

Everything on this tab is short of a medical. That is the line: a deal that has reached one sits in the Ins & Outs table, and everything below it — an offer, an agreement in principle, personal terms with no fee agreed, a bid lodged — is here, counting towards nothing until it moves. Tick any combination of live rumours (fees and wages are my estimates of reported figures) and the panel at the bottom recalculates the effect on every rule: the window balance, UEFA 70%, PL SCR (also 70% for clubs in Europe) and FER earnings. Uses the same base assumptions as the Headroom tab, so tweaks there flow through here. Sage's shortlist skews cheap by necessity — the budget end (Jabol-Folcarelli at ~£7m) tells you as much about the ratio as the £100m Wharton valuation does. Updated 9 Aug: Gozo leaves the mill for the deal tables (fee agreed); Disasi, Fofana, Zézé and the Johnson–McNeil swap idea are added; Engels fades with West Ham agreeing personal terms; Njie's package improves to ~€19m.

Incoming rumours

Outgoing rumours

Window balance
Δ annual squad cost
UEFA SCR
PL SCR
Profit booked (FER)
Tick the rumours above to model a scenario — and change any fee or wage to model your own number instead of this tracker’s.
How each lever maps to the rules: an incoming deal adds (fee + the PL’s 4% levy)÷5 + wages + ~10% agent fee to both SCR numerators and eats the window balance, with zero benefit anywhere. An outgoing deal does the opposite three times over — fee into the balance, wages + remaining amortisation out of the numerator, and the profit (fee − book value) into FER earnings and the SCR denominator. That's why one Wharton-sized sale would fund roughly four Engels-sized signings in compliance terms, whatever it costs in football terms. Palace's academy economics (Eze, Guehi, Mitchell, Wharton-adjacent) make the OUT column structurally more powerful than the IN column.

Squad · Book Value & Amortisation

Senior squad after this summer's confirmed/advanced exits. Book value is computed live: straight-line amortisation of the reported fee from signing date to current contract end (extensions re-spread the remaining value — this is the standard treatment). Wages are Capology-reported figures (cross-checked Jul 2026 vs bet365/GiveMeSport/SalaryLeaks) — still estimates, not official. Tap a column to sort.

Player Pos Fee £m Signed Contract End Yrs Left Amort £m/yr Book Value £m Mkt Val £m Profit If Sold £m Est Wage £k/wk
💰 highlighted rows = est. profit if sold ≥£20m — where market value towers over book value. Wharton is the extreme case: an £18m fee from January 2024 with barely £10m left on the books against a reported £100m valuation — a sale would be ~90% profit. Mitchell (academy, £0 book) and Mateta (£14m fee nearly amortised) are the same shape smaller. These are the bean counter's favourite players and the football department's nightmare. Market values are Transfermarkt-style estimates — except Wharton (£100m per the reported valuation) and Mateta (~£28m per the live talks in the Rumour Mill). Tomiyasu was announced by the club on 7 August: no fee, so no book value or amortisation either way, but his contract length was not disclosed — the June 2028 end date shown remains this tracker's assumption, and it changes no money on this page. Gozo (~£10m agreed 8 Aug) is NOT yet in this table — he joins the squad and the amortisation base only when the deal completes. Not listed individually (academy/low book value or out on loan): Kporha, Cardines (renewed to 2028), Rodney and the U21 crop — collectively immaterial to the amortisation picture but pure profit if ever sold. Free transfers & academy players carry £0 book value (that's why selling them is pure PSR/FER profit). Undisclosed fees estimated where flagged ~. Add-ons are treated differently on the two sides of the ledger, and this page says so rather than quietly netting it out: both an incoming and an outgoing fee are modelled at the guaranteed amount, with add-ons counted only when they trigger. This caption used to claim the opposite for incoming deals — that they were modelled all-in — and that was a description of a rule this site does not follow: every incoming row bar two was already on the guaranteed basis, and the two exceptions, Suzuki and Ruggeri, were brought into line on 2 September. Contingent money is not capitalised until it is owed, which is the conservative reading and the one the corrections here have consistently enforced. Wages are Capology-style third-party estimates cross-checked against contract reporting — new-signing wages are guesses until the databases catch up with the window. Amortisation shown on remaining contract; UEFA and the PL both cap the amortisation schedule for new deals at 5 years even on longer contracts.
Squad Book Value
Sum of estimated carrying values
Annual Amortisation
Current squad only. Club-wide FY25 charge was £54.1m — the FY27 figure will be higher after a January 2026 window that capitalised £83m (Strand Larsen £48m + Johnson £35m)
Est. Squad Wages
Estimated senior squad only. Total club FY25 wage bill: £148.3m (incl. staff, bonuses) — ~75% of revenue
The Mateta problem, in beans: his contract runs to 2027, so this is the last summer he carries a real fee. The January Milan deal (£30m agreed) collapsed on deadline-day medical checks over a knee problem; six months later the market quotes £25–30m with Milan, Juventus and Beşiktaş linked but nobody actually bidding, and Palace have now moved the other way — reportedly tabling a new contract to 2030 (Schira) specifically to stop him leaving for nothing. He has not signed it. The accounting is brutal and simple: book value ~£1.5m, so almost any fee is almost all profit — but let him run to July 2027 and the same player books £0. For a club living at the 70% wall, the difference between selling Mateta this window and losing him free next summer is roughly £28m of denominator. That's why the contract standoff is a compliance story, not just a squad one.

Amortisation Runway — What's Already Committed

Transfer-fee amortisation locked into future seasons from today's contracts (straight-line on remaining book value). This is spending that's already eaten before Palace buy anyone else — note how the two January 2026 deals, Strand Larsen (£48m) and Johnson (£35m), dominate the next four years between them.

Assumes current contracts run to term (sales remove their bars; extensions re-spread them). One deal is pending: the agreed ~£10m Gozo signing would add roughly £2m/yr here once completed. Tomiyasu (announced 7 Aug) is a free and carries no amortisation, and the ~£26m Matsima deal that used to sit here — worth ~£5m/yr — collapsed on 30 July and has been removed from every total on this page. If Le Guen (~£12m mooted) or a Disasi obligation (~£20m bracket) eventually land, add roughly £2.5m/yr and £4m/yr respectively.

Premier League homegrown quota — 2026/27

Two ceilings, not one. A club may register 25 senior players, and no more than 17 of them may be non-homegrown. The familiar “eight homegrown” line is what falls out of those two numbers — but only if you fill all 25. A club with six qualifiers is not breaking any rule; it simply cannot name a squad bigger than 23. Under-21s sit outside the list altogether and play regardless: for 2026/27, born on or after 1 January 2005. Players out on loan are not registered.

Homegrown is a registration test, not a passport test. Three entire seasons, or 36 months, at any club affiliated to the FA or the FAW before the end of the season in which the player turns 21. That is why Tyrick Mitchell and Justin Devenny both count as club-trained, while Chris Richards, who arrived at 21, does not: the window had shut before he landed.

Palace are one place from the ceiling on both counts at once. 22 of the 25 places are used, and at 7 homegrown and 15 non-homegrown they cap at 24 — so one of the two remaining places is real and the other is not, and the real one has to go to a homegrown player or an under-21. The academy is doing the work: Tyrick Mitchell, Justin Devenny and Rio Cardines are all club-trained, and Romain Esse came through Millwall. Four players are under 21 and sit outside the list; Esse and Cardines both bring a homegrown place with them when they age in, which is the difference between this squad and most of the ones above it.

UEFA List A — 2026/27 Europa League

Palace's 2025/26 Conference League list as reconstructed from the knockout-phase registration (Feb 2026) — the squad that won the trophy, beating Rayo Vallecano 1–0 in Leipzig on 27 May. This is an unofficial reconstruction from match squads, not UEFA's published document. Players who have since left, or are leaving this summer, are flagged.

List A Transition · 2025/26 Conference Winners → 2026/27 Europa League

Each position: who's gone off last season's list, who stays, and who fills the hole — with deal status. The Europa League list is due ~2 September. Only advanced deals are classed in/out — loose links stay dimmed or in the Rumour Mill. The quota that bites: min 8 locally-trained places of which 4 club-trained, or the list shrinks below 25 — and Palace's genuine club-trained seniors are thin on the ground.

Goalkeepers

Out · 0
Nobody
Retained · 2
Dean HendersonSTAYS · No.1
Walter BenítezSTAYS
In · 0
Nobody advanced
NET: unchanged — Henderson (homegrown) and Benítez both under contract. A club-trained academy keeper on List B covers the third slot without burning an A place.

Defenders — where the window happened

Out · 4
Daniel MuñozGONE · NOTTINGHAM FOREST · £20m
Maxence LacroixSOLD · CHELSEA £52m · 30 JUL
Nathaniel ClyneRELEASED · END OF CONTRACT
Danny ImraySOLD · WREXHAM, UNDISCLOSED (~£5m) · 29 JUL
Retained · 5
Chris RichardsSTAYS
Jaydee CanvotSTAYS · YEAR TWO
Tyrick MitchellSTAYS · CLUB-TRAINED
Chadi RiadSTAYS
Borna SosaSTAYS
In · 4 (+ targets)
Óscar MinguezaSIGNED 9 JUL · FREE · SAGE'S FIRST
Takehiro TomiyasuFREE · SIGNED · ANNOUNCED 7 AUG
Axel DisasiLOAN + OBLIGATION OFFER SUBMITTED · IN TALKS
Raphaël Le GuenTERMS AGREED · BID REJECTED · IN TALKS
Chrislain MatsimaDEAL COLLAPSED 30 JUL · STAYS AT AUGSBURG
NET: 3 out (~£57m in) → 2 free transfers in. The Lacroix replacement still hasn't arrived — Matsima collapsed over add-ons and Ganiou was shelved at Lens's €50m ask — but the pursuit has a new front-runner: a loan-with-obligation offer for Chelsea's Axel Disasi was submitted in the past week, with personal-terms talks reported as progressing. Until something lands, Tomiyasu's Premier League experience and Mingueza's versatility paper over a genuine hole at centre-back with just over three weeks left.

Midfielders

Out · 1
Christantus UcheLOAN ENDED — OBLIGATION NOT MET · BACK TO GETAFE
Retained · 6
Adam WhartonSTAYS · £100m VALUATION HOLDS
Cheick DoucouréSTAYS
Daichi KamadaRENEWED — FRESH TERMS AGREED
Jefferson LermaSTAYS · FINAL YEAR
Will HughesSTAYS · FINAL YEAR
Romain EsseCLUB BRUGGE BID REJECTED · IN TALKS
In · 0 (+ targets)
Arne EngelsFADING · PERSONAL TERMS AGREED WITH WEST HAM
Youssouf FofanaENQUIRY · MILAN WANT €20m · PLAYER PREFERS STAYING
Tim Jabol-FolcarelliBUDGET OPTION · ~£7m
Imran LouzaENQUIRY · COMO RIVAL
NET: Uche's failed loan leaves the hole this window is trying to fill, and it is still open — and the Engels push has faded, with the Belgian now reported to have agreed personal terms with West Ham. Fofana (Milan's €20m ask, but the player wants to stay), Jabol-Folcarelli and Louza are the live alternatives; all live in the Rumour Mill until a fee is agreed. Esse going the other way to Club Brugge — Palace lodged a counter-proposal on 8 August after rejecting ~€8m+2m — would deepen the problem, not solve it.

Forwards

Out · 2
Brennan JohnsonGONE · EVERTON · FREE
Evann GuessandOFFICIAL 12 AUG · SEASON LOAN + OPTION/OBLIGATION ~£25m+
Retained · 5
Ismaïla SarrSAID YES TO FENERBAHÇE · ~€20m BID REJECTED, PALACE WANT ~€40m
Jean-Philippe MatetaNEW DEAL TO 2030 OFFERED · NO ANSWER, NO BID
Jørgen Strand LarsenSTAYS · £48m RECORD SIGNING
Yeremy PinoSTAYS
Eddie NketiahSTAYS
In · 1
Zavier Gozo~£10m AGREED 8 AUG · MEDICAL · ADVANCED
NET: the least stable column on the page, but movement at last. Gozo — the 19-year-old Real Salt Lake wide player — is the window's first agreed fee at ~£10m, announced by both clubs on 18 August. Going the other way: Sarr has said yes to Fenerbahçe but the clubs are ~€20m apart on the fee; Mateta has a new deal to 2030 on the table and hasn't signed it; and Everton have opened talks over a Brennan Johnson–Dwight McNeil swap. Njie (improved ~€19m package tabled) and Agyemang stay Rumour Mill items until money changes hands.
Quota note: Palace's locally-trained pool is decent on association-trained (Henderson, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell, Nketiah and Esse all qualify) but thinner than it looks on club-trained seniors (Mitchell, plus academy graduates like Devenny, Cardines and Kporha). Fewer than 4 club-trained names on List A means those slots are simply lost, shrinking the list below 25 — the quiet reason academy renewals like Cardines' new deal to 2028 matter. List B (unlimited, U-22 + 2yrs at club) covers the rest of the academy crop. All designations here are estimates until UEFA publishes the official list.
No gate, but a deadline: unlike clubs under UEFA settlements, Palace face no registration condition — every signed player can go straight onto the Europa League list, due ~2 September (the day after the window shuts). Up to three additions are permitted in the knockout registration window in early February 2027. The practical constraint is the homegrown arithmetic above, not a transfer-balance test.

Sanction Tracker — A Clean Sheet, One Asterisk

The SCR Glidepath — Palace vs the Falling Limit (Estimates)

100% 90% 80% 70% 60% UEFA LIMIT 90% 80% 70% CY2023CY2024CY2025CY2026 not in Europe · untested untested 1st UEFA year · est under, helped by Eze/Guehi profits est AT the wall — the live test
Palace line is directional and entirely this tracker's estimate (UEFA does not publish club ratios, and 2023–24 were never tested because Palace weren't in Europe). The limit stepped 90% → 80% → 70% as UEFA phased the rule in — Palace arrived exactly when it reached its tightest setting. No breach has been found or alleged.
2013 → 2025 · Premier League

Twelve years of PSR, zero charges

Since promotion in 2013, Palace have never been charged, deducted, embargoed or fined under the Premier League's financial rules — no PSR charge, no points deduction, no registration embargo, no late-filing fine. The model that kept it that way: sell one star per cycle (Zaha-era near-misses, then Olise £51m, Eze £67.5m, Guehi £20m) and let academy economics absorb the losses. The FY24 pre-tax loss of £35.6m was the closest thing to pressure, and it was answered with the Olise sale weeks after year-end.

17 May 2025

The trophy that triggered everything

Palace beat Manchester City 1–0 at Wembley to win the FA Cup — the club's first major honour — and with it a place in the 2025/26 Europa League. Within weeks, that place was in doubt: John Textor's Eagle Football held ~43% of Palace and a controlling stake in Lyon, who had also qualified for the Europa League.

11 July 2025

The demotion — UEFA's multi-club ruling

The CFCB ruled Palace non-compliant with Article 5 (multi-club ownership): on the 1 March 2025 assessment date, Textor held stakes in both qualified clubs, and the CFCB found decisive influence. Sanction: demotion from the Europa League to the Conference League — no fine, no points, but the most expensive "free" sanction imaginable (~£15–20m of prize-money differential plus prestige). Textor's £190m sale to Woody Johnson completed weeks too late to matter. Steve Parish called it one of the greatest injustices in the history of European football.

11 August 2025

CAS appeal dismissed

The Court of Arbitration for Sport rejected all three strands of Palace's appeal, finding Textor held shares and board influence over both clubs at the assessment date. Nottingham Forest were promoted into the Europa League place. Final, unappealable — Palace would play Thursday nights in the third-tier competition.

27 May 2026

The perfect revenge — Conference League champions

Palace beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0 in Leipzig (Mateta, 50') to win the competition they were demoted into — a second major trophy in thirteen months, alongside the 2025 Community Shield win over Liverpool. Sporting consequence: automatic qualification for the 2026/27 Europa League league phase, taking the sting out of a 15th-place league finish. Financial consequence: ~£17.5m of UEFA prize money banked, and a second consecutive season under UEFA's 70% squad-cost regime.

Now → 2026/27

The ledger going forward

Fines paid to UEFA: £0. Fines paid to the Premier League: £0. Open cases: none. The multi-club conflict is resolved (Johnson 45%, Harris & Blitzer 18% each, Parish 10%). What remains is prevention: stay under the 70% squad-cost line (both UEFA's calendar test and the PL's new season test), pass the final PSR assessment in January 2027 on a cycle that was never close, and keep the academy-and-trading engine running so it stays that way.

Last Accounts — FY2024/25 (y/e 30 June 2025)

The season of the FA Cup win over Manchester City and 12th place. Headline: a £8.3m pre-tax profit — effectively the third-best result in the Premier League, behind only Liverpool and Bournemouth. Reality: it only exists because of £66m of profit from selling Michael Olise and Joachim Andersen.

Revenue (club record)
£196.6m
+3.4% on FY24's £190.2m — FA Cup run drove gate receipts up 12%
Pre-tax result
+£8.3m
vs −£35.6m in FY24
…excluding player sales
−£58m
est: operating loss + net interest, before the £66m trading profit
Operating loss
−£42.5m
More than doubled from FY24's −£20.7m
Wage bill
£148.3m
+11% from £133.7m · ~75% of revenue
Player amortisation
£54.1m
+18% from £46.0m — and rising fast after the 2026 buys

Revenue mix (streams estimated from the reported ~75.7% broadcast share)

Broadcasting
~£149m
Commercial
~£29m
Matchday
~£19m
The balance sheet clean-up nobody noticed: the FY25 accounts contain a £50m waiver of inter-company debt from the parent company — a non-cash equity injection — alongside debt-to-equity conversions as the ownership reorganised around Woody Johnson's £190m arrival. Third-party debt held stable at ~£106m, with £79m of transfer-fee payables against £13m receivable and ~£283m of total liabilities; net interest cost £15.1m. The growth story is physical: Palace's ~£19m of matchday income is among the smallest of any established PL club, which is why the long-mooted Selhurst Park Main Stand expansion (planning consent secured years ago; capacity to ~34,000, cost estimates £150–200m+) keeps resurfacing under the new ownership — in the squad-cost era, every pound of new stadium revenue is 70p of squad allowance, permanently. Add ~£17.5m of Conference League prize money, a Community Shield at Wembley and a European final's commercial afterglow into FY26, and the denominator is finally moving.

How −£42.5m became +£8.3m

Operating loss−£42.5m
Profit on player sales (Olise → Bayern, Andersen → Fulham)+£66m
Net interest payable−£15.1m
Pre-tax profit+£8.3m
The whole story in one line: Palace lose ~£50–60m a year running the football club and make it back selling one star — Olise and Andersen in FY25, Eze and Guehi in FY26, Lacroix in FY27. It's the same engine Brighton run, with a smaller stadium attached. No intra-group tricks, no asset shuffles — every pound of profit here counts for PSR and UEFA's FER alike, which is why Palace's compliance position is so clean. Figures from the published FY25 accounts via Swiss Ramble / Matchday Finance / The Esk analyses; the "excluding player sales" line is this tracker's arithmetic.

Rules & Compliance Status

Every regime that applies to Palace, the limit in pounds, and where the club stands. "FFP" itself no longer exists as a single rule — it's the old umbrella name, now split into UEFA's FER + SCR (+ the multi-club rules that actually bit Palace) and the Premier League's PSR (becoming SCR + SSR from this season).

COMPLIANT CLOSE / UNDER SETTLEMENT NOT COMPLIANT

Compliance calendar

1 Sep 2026WINDOW CLOSES · 11PM
~2 Sep 2026EL LIST A DEADLINE
Oct 2026PL SCR MONITORING
31 Dec 2026UEFA SCR YEAR ENDS + PSR ACCOUNTS FILED
Jan 2027FINAL PL PSR ASSESSMENT
~Early Feb 2027EL KNOCKOUT LIST WINDOW
1 Mar 2027PL SCR ASSESSMENT
31 Mar 2027FY26 ACCOUNTS DUE AT COMPANIES HOUSE
Summer 2027CFCB VERDICT ON CALENDAR 2026
7 Jul 2027SSR TESTS
Premier League · to end of 2025/26
Compliant — never charged

PSR — Profitability & Sustainability

LIMIT: £105m max pre-tax loss over rolling 3 years (£15m if not equity-funded)
BasisClub financial years (Palace's y/e 30 June) — the final cycle aggregates FY24 + FY25 + FY26, and it closed on 30 June 2026.
What countsAggregate 3-yr pre-tax result, with deductions for infrastructure, academy, community & women's football costs.
PalaceEstimated aggregate: FY24 −£35.6m + FY25 +£8.3m + FY26 (est comfortably positive on the £87.5m Eze/Guehi sales and ~£17.5m of UEFA money) ≈ −£10–15m headline, before the deductions — an estimated £90m+ of headroom. Palace have never been charged under PSR in twelve PL seasons.
DeadlineAccounts submitted by 31 Dec 2026 → final-ever PSR assessment January 2027. After that the rule is retired.
UEFA · the binding constraint
Est. at the line

SCR — Squad Cost Ratio (UEFA)

LIMIT: squad cost ≤ 70% of adjusted revenue + net player-sale profit (phased 90% → 80% → 70%)
BasisCalendar year — the current test period is 1 Jan – 31 Dec 2026. This is why summer sales help twice: they cut H2 wages AND book profit inside the same measurement year.
What countsPlayer + head-coach wages — including wages of loaned-in players — plus loan fees, transfer amortisation/impairment and agent fees. The PL’s 4% transfer levy and FIFA’s 5% solidarity contribution capitalise into registration cost and ride along inside the amortisation. On a sale it works the other way and is now modelled: the 5% is deducted from the fee, so a club selling abroad banks 95% and books its profit on that. Domestic sales are untouched. Amortisation capped at 5 years for new deals.
PalaceUntested before 2025 (no UEFA licence needed), and no breach found or alleged since. But the maths tightened in January 2026: the £48m club-record Strand Larsen fee added ~£11m/yr of amortisation to a revenue base under £230m. This tracker's estimate for calendar 2026 sits at roughly the 70% line, kept there by the Guehi (Jan) and Lacroix (Jul) sale profits landing inside the measurement year. Amber for proximity, not for guilt.
DeadlineCalendar 2026 freezes 31 December; clubs report in spring and the CFCB verdict lands summer 2027. A first breach typically means a fine scaled to the overshoot, then a settlement with targets.
UEFA · "FER" — yes, that's the one
Comfortable

FER — Football Earnings Rule

LIMIT: ~£52m (€60m) max loss over 3 years · +~£8.6m/yr more if in "good financial health"
BasisFinancial years — the 3-year aggregate of the club's own accounting periods (Palace's y/e 30 June), assessed annually by the CFCB while the club holds a UEFA licence.
What countsUEFA's PSR equivalent — but it EXCLUDES profits on asset sales to related parties, player swaps and related-party transfers. Only real football earnings count.
PalaceThis is where the club's honest accounting pays off: Palace's profits are player-sale profits (Olise, Eze, Guehi, now Lacroix), which count in full under FER — no intra-group sales to be disallowed. FY25's +£8.3m and an estimated positive FY26 leave the 3-year aggregate well inside the ~£52m allowance.
DeadlineAssessed alongside the SCR in the annual CFCB cycle — next verdict summer 2027 on the FY26 accounts.
Premier League · live from 2026/27
Could be close

SCR — Squad Cost Ratio (PL)

CLUBS IN EUROPE (incl. Palace): green 70% · red 100% — CLUBS NOT IN EUROPE: green 85% · red 115% · +£33m/3yr equity top-up (max £15m/season)
BasisSeason / financial year (2026/27, i.e. y/e 30 June 2027) — unlike UEFA's calendar-year clock. A January signing therefore hits the PL calculation for this season but splits across two UEFA years.
What countsSame cost base as UEFA's version, and the denominator explicitly includes net profit/loss on player sales (spread over three years — the smoothing Palace voted against, because it dilutes the one-big-sale model). Two-tier enforcement: over green but under red = fine (levies only payable for breaches from 2027/28); over red = risk of sporting sanctions. The intra-group asset-sale loophole that existed under PSR is explicitly closed.
PalaceAs a Europa League club, Palace's domestic green threshold is 70% — the tight tier, alongside the other eight European qualifiers. Palace were one of only six clubs to vote AGAINST the SCR package in November 2025 (with Bournemouth, Brentford, Brighton, Fulham and Leeds), arguing it weakens the player-trading engine smaller clubs live on — then qualified straight into its strictest band. The 2026/27 projection on the model defaults sits a shade under the green line as at 9 August, having been just over it in late July — hence amber: this is a margin measured in one signing, not a comfortable pass. Breaching green but staying under 100% means a levy, not points; the buffer also RATCHETS: use it one season and next season's red threshold drops by the same amount, earned back at 10%/season of full compliance.
DeadlineMonitoring checkpoint October 2026; formal assessment 1 March 2027, after the January window. Levies for breaches only bite from 2027/28 — 2026/27 is a transition year.
Premier League · live from 2026/27
Expected pass

SSR — Sustainability & Systemic Resilience

TESTS: liquidity headroom ≥ £0 after an £85m stress test · positive equity ratio ≤90% (26/27) → 85% (27/28) → 80% (28/29+)
BasisTested 7 July each year (newly promoted clubs: 31 October), covering the current and following season.
What countsNot a spending cap — solvency tests. The liquidity calculation counts 40% of squad market value as a liquid asset; the £85m stress test models relegation or missing Europe. Owner equity injections count in a club's favour.
PalaceThe FY25 balance-sheet repair reads like SSR preparation: a £50m inter-company debt waiver, debt-to-equity conversions and a new deep-pocketed largest shareholder in Woody Johnson. Third-party debt stable at ~£106m against a squad whose 40%-of-market-value liquidity credit alone comfortably clears the stress test on this tracker's estimates. No indication of an issue.
DeadlineFirst full tests 7 July 2027 for 2026/27, with in-season submissions from the start of the season.
UEFA Art. 5 · the rule that actually bit
Resolved

Multi-Club Ownership Rule

CONDITION: no individual or entity may hold control or decisive influence over more than one club in the same UEFA competition · assessed as at 1 MARCH
BasisTested on the snapshot date, not the season — which is precisely what caught Palace: John Textor's stake sale to Woody Johnson completed in summer 2025, months after the 1 March 2025 assessment date on which Eagle Football held stakes in both Palace and Lyon.
PalaceDemoted from the 2025/26 Europa League to the Conference League (11 Jul 2025); CAS dismissed the appeal (Aug 2025), finding Textor had shares and board influence at both clubs on the date. The club's only sanction in any financial/ownership regime, ever — and it carried no fine. Resolved: the register now reads Johnson 45%, Harris 18%, Blitzer 18%, Parish 10%, with no other-club conflicts. For 1 March 2027 the position is clean.
DeadlineNext assessment snapshot: 1 March 2027 (relevant only if Palace qualify for Europe again in 2027/28).
UEFA Annex G.3.5 + PL FMV protocols
No exposure

Swap-Deal / Player-Exchange Rule

TEST: opposite-direction transfers between the same two clubs = an EXCHANGE if (a) concluded within 45 DAYS of each other AND (b) with the same/similar payment obligations, deadlines or dates · recognised value = the LOWER of the fee and residual book value
What countsSubstance over form, not a fixed day-count — deals weeks apart can be linked (Newcastle's Anderson sale was tied to the Vlachodimos purchase, wiping £30m+ off their UEFA trading profit). For academy players the book value is £0, so an exchange kills the profit entirely; under IAS 38, if fair value can't be measured, NO profit can be recognised. The PL runs its own fair-market-value assessment protocols for player registrations (Handbook, App 19).
PalaceClean so far — Palace's big sales are straight cash deals to clubs they aren't simultaneously buying from (Olise→Bayern, Eze→Arsenal, Guehi→City, Lacroix→Chelsea with no reverse traffic). But the rule now has a live watch item: the reported Brennan Johnson ⇄ Dwight McNeil swap talks with Everton (The Times, 9 Aug) are precisely the structure this rule exists for — Johnson's book value is ~£30m of his £35m January fee, so a swap valued at the LOWER of fee and book would generate little or no bookable profit, and any cash element would be scrutinised. Talks only; nothing agreed. The mooted Guessand purchase from Villa carries the same 45-day flag if ever paired with reverse traffic.
ConsequenceThe rule matters to Palace mainly as a seller: it protects the integrity of the profits (Eze, Guehi, Lacroix) that the whole compliance position is built on. The era of the casual academy swap is over — which suits a club whose academy profits are real.
Terminology · where "FFP" went

FFP → what it means now

"Financial Fair Play" (2010) was rebranded by UEFA in 2022 as Financial Sustainability Regulations: solvency (no overdue payables) + stability (FER) + cost control (SCR) + the ownership rules (Art. 5 multi-club). Domestically, the PL's version was PSR (2013), now being replaced by SCR + SSR from 2026/27. So when pundits say Palace had an "FFP problem" in 2025, the precise version is: an ownership-structure problem under Article 5 — never a spending one. The spending question starts now, at 70%.
Accounting mechanics

Amortisation & "pure profit"

Fees spread over the contract (max 5 years); sale profit = fee received − remaining book value − any sell-on shares owed, booked instantly. Academy products are ~100% profit: Eze's £67.5m (QPR's reported sell-on aside) and Guehi's £20m landed almost whole. Lacroix shows the trading version: £18m in, £52m out two years later ≈ £43m of profit against ~£9m of book. Buying works the other way: Strand Larsen at £48m adds only ~£10.7m/yr of cost. That asymmetry — sell whole, buy amortised — is the entire logic of how Palace fund squads.

The Whole League — Bean Counted

All 20 clubs for 2026/27: which SCR tier they're in, their latest published accounts (FY2024/25, y/e mid-2025), and their compliance baggage. Nine clubs in Europe carry the 70% green / 100% red caps; the other eleven get 85% / 115%. Notes updated 27 Jul — officially announced deals and appointments only; pursuits and links stay in the Rumour Mill. Figures marked ~ are estimates from league-wide analyses rather than confirmed line items — FY25 league totals: £6.8bn revenue, £4.4bn wages, £2.0bn amortisation, £948m aggregate pre-tax losses.

ClubEurope 26/27Green capRev £mWages £mW/RCompliance notes
ArsenalCL · CHAMPIONS70%~617~328~53%Comfortable on both ratios; CL runners-up 25/26. Amortisation £170m+ the main cost line.
Manchester CityCL70%~715408~57%New era: Maresca replaces Guardiola. Broke the British record for Forest’s Anderson (£116m, fixed fee) — absorbed inside 70% by a £715m revenue base.
Manchester UnitedCL70%~666~313~47%Carrick made permanent manager; ~£85m midfield rebuild (Santos £50m, Tielemans £35m from Villa). £196m amortisation, but a £666m denominator makes 70% easy.
Aston VillaCL · EL HOLDERS70%37827372%Mid-UEFA-settlement, fined twice but trend endorsed; the £117m British-record Rogers sale to Chelsea is the exit route.
LiverpoolCL70%~614~386~63%Iraola officially appointed (4 Jun, 2-yr deal) after Slot was sacked a year on from the title. FY25 wages inflated by title bonuses after £241m on Isak (£125m) & Wirtz. Squad cost £545m, big denominator.
BournemouthEUROPA70%~175~140~80%Flagged spending near capacity in FY25 — and first-ever Europe now drags them from 85% to the 70% cap just as Iraola officially left for Liverpool. The squeeze case, squeezed further.
SunderlandEUROPA70%~180*~95*~53%*FY25 = first PL season back. Europe two seasons after League One — the 70% cap lands on a still-growing revenue base.
CRYSTAL PALACEEUROPA · CONF WINNERS70%19714875%The subject of this tracker: Conference League winners, the Sage era begins, and a second straight European season keeps them on the 70% cap — estimated a shade under it after a window of selling, free transfers and one modest fee agreed. See every other tab.
BrightonCONFERENCE70%~222~165~74%FY25 costs rose sharply on amortisation; historically balanced by elite player trading profits.
Chelsea85%~541~360~67%Xabi Alonso era. UEFA settlement (£26.7m paid, up to £51m conditional), fined again Jul 2026 — then broke their record for Rogers (£117m) days after loaning Garnacho to Villa, walking the swap-rule tightrope. League-high £212m amortisation; missing Europe eases the cap to 85%.
Newcastle85%~350~220~63%Fined Jul 2026 for BOTH SCR and FER breaches; FY25 leaned on selling Isak to Liverpool for £125m. Settlement obligations continue despite missing Europe.
Tottenham85%~526~222~42%Lowest wage ratio among the big-revenue clubs — the league's most comfortable bean-counting position.
Nottingham Forest85%~190~155~82%Fined £2.2m in Jul 2026 — then banked £116m selling Anderson to City, transforming the FER/PSR picture overnight. Glasner confirmed as head coach 6 Jul (reported club-record ~£13m/yr salary) — their FIFTH boss in 12 months.
Everton85%~187~160~86%Two PSR deductions in 23/24; new stadium revenue is the plan for growing under the 85% cap.
Fulham85%~180~145~81%Small-revenue cohort where 85% barely funds a competitive XI — the other side of the SCR squeeze.
Brentford85%~195~125~64%The sustainability model club — comfortable margin on every metric.
Leeds85%~150*~110*~73%*FY25 = promotion season. Second PL season consolidating.
CoventryPROMOTED · CHAMPIONS85%~45*~35*~78%*Championship-era accounts. PL broadcast money transforms the denominator overnight — big headroom if they spend sensibly.
IpswichPROMOTED85%~145*~115*~79%*FY25 reflects their last PL season. Straight back up at the first attempt.
HullPROMOTED · PLAY-OFFS85%~30*~28*~93%*Championship accounts. The biggest financial step-up in the division — SSR liquidity tests bite hardest here. In: Butland, ex-Villa Targett, Zambrano & Morita.
The tier divide is the story of 2026/27: nine clubs in Europe live at 70/100 while eleven live at 85/115 — meaning Chelsea, Newcastle, Spurs and Forest all get 15 points MORE domestic spending headroom than Palace precisely because they failed to qualify. Palace are the purest squeeze case in the league: the second-smallest revenue of the nine European clubs, on the tightest cap, one season after their biggest-ever spend. Bournemouth share the trap; Fulham and the promoted clubs live the opposite one, where even 85% of a small revenue is a hard ceiling.
Sources: Deloitte Annual Review (league totals), club accounts via Swiss Ramble/Maguire/Matchday Finance analyses, UEFA CFCB statements. ~ figures are estimates; * marks accounts from a different division. Every club has its own page with the full treatment — transfers, book values, A-list, headroom — via the menu at the top.

Who's Selling to Survive — Net Transfer Balance

Sorted by net balance — the top of this table is where the selling pressure lives, the bottom is where the money goes.

THIS WINDOW: disclosed fees on officially completed 2026 deals only; undisclosed counted £0, loans & frees excluded. Palace's row counts the £52m Lacroix fee (announced 30 Jul) and nothing else — the Imray sale to Wrexham was undisclosed so it counts £0 here, and Khalaili's £21m was announced on 15 August and counts in full, while the ~£10m for Gozo was only agreed on 8 August and is not yet completed, so that one counts £0 here. LAST 5 YEARS: net spend 2021/22–2025/26, Transfermarkt basis (€ converted), ~ = estimated. The Palace story reads the same from both ends: a ~£200m five-year net spend — mid-table money — converted into an FA Cup, a Community Shield, a Conference League and two European qualifications, funded window-by-window from the Olise/Eze/Guehi production line. This window remains close to the extreme: sell one defender for £52m, sell an academy full-back to Wrexham, sign two free transfers — and commit a single ~£10m fee in week eight.

Can Anyone Still Catch the Big Six?

The question underneath every number in this tracker. The honest answer: the old door is bricked up — but there's a turnstile, and Palace have a foot in it.

Why it feels closed — because it mostly is

The 70% rule is a percentage of revenue — so it doesn't cap spending, it caps spending relative to income. City's 70% of ~£715m buys a ~£500m squad; Palace's 70% of a ~£295m denominator buys ~£207m. The gap is locked in by design. And the FER kills the only ladder anyone ever actually climbed: Abramovich's Chelsea, early City, even Newcastle's takeover surge all spent ahead of revenue — exactly what's now illegal. The clubs at the top climbed the ladder, then wrote rules that pulled it up. Worse, the compliance machinery itself transfers talent upward: Palace's compliance fuel was selling Olise to Bayern, Eze to Arsenal and Guehi to City; Forest's was selling Anderson to City. The squeezed feed the rich.

The cracks in the door

1 · Grow the denominator. Every £1 of new revenue is 70p of new squad allowance — which is why the Selhurst Park Main Stand expansion, the Woody Johnson capital and every European run matter as much as any signing. Palace's ~£19m of matchday income is the obvious untapped line. 2 · The trading engine. Net transfer profit counts IN the denominator and in FER earnings — selling well literally raises your cap. Brighton have run this loop for a decade; Palace's academy (Wan-Bissaka, Eze, Guehi, Mitchell, and whoever's next out of Beckenham) is the same machine, already running. 3 · Efficiency is legal. Two major trophies in thirteen months on a ~£200m five-year net spend — less than Spurs spent in one summer. The five-year table above is proof you can win things on brains. 4 · The rich can now fail permanently. United's £650m for one top-four finish used to be survivable — just spend again. Under squad-cost rules, mistakes consume finite headroom even for giants. Bad buying is finally fatal at every level.

The bean counter's verdict: catching the Big Six in one leap is dead — the rules exist to prevent precisely that. What remains is a slower, harder arc: gatecrash Europe on efficiency, monetise it (prize money, sponsors, stadium), sell your stars for compliance fuel, and let revenue compound until the 70% of it rivals theirs. It takes a decade, it charges admission (usually your best player — Palace have paid it three summers running), and the turnstile admits roughly one club per cycle. Palace are further through it than they've ever been: two trophies, consecutive European seasons, an academy that mints pure profit, American capital behind a stadium plan, and a £100m midfielder still in the building. The door isn't closed. It's just been redesigned so that only the well-run can fit through — which is why the same club that voted against the SCR now has to be better at living under it than anyone.

Changelog

Every update to the Bean Counter's data, newest first. Maintained manually with each rebuild.

3 Sept 2026

Twenty-six sold players were sitting in “Retained” columns across fifteen clubs SITE-WIDE CORRECTION

Villa’s board was not the exception. It was the one somebody happened to be looking at. After Emiliano Martínez was found under “Retained” four days after his sale to Chelsea, the same pattern was checked across the other nineteen pages. Every club page carries these position boards — three columns each, who left, who stayed, who arrived — and at roughly forty-five chips a page that is about nine hundred hand-written claims, none of which any gate on this site could read, because they name players in free HTML rather than through a data array.

Twenty-six of them said a player had stayed when the club’s own deal table said he had been sold. The list is not marginal. Rodri sat under Manchester City’s “Retained · 6” tagged “REAL MADRID TALKS”; he had gone to Barcelona for £51m. Tijjani Reijnders (£52m, Al Qadsiah) and Nico González (£50m, Newcastle) were beside him. Carlos Baleba was retained at Brighton after a £65m move to Manchester United. Liam Delap was retained at Chelsea after £45m to Forest. Everton had five in one page — Ndiaye, McNeil, Beto, Iroegbunam and Patterson. Arsenal had Gabriel Jesus, Ipswich three, Hull two, Palace two, and so on across fifteen clubs.

Each one is now in the column it belongs in, with the destination and fee taken from the deal table rather than retyped. Column counts were recomputed from the chips actually present, so the headings match their own contents for the first time in a while. “Out · 0 — Nobody” placeholders were removed where a real departure now fills the column.

Worth recording how nearly this went wrong, because it is the second time today. The first script moved the chips and reported twenty-two successes. It had in fact deleted all twenty-two players: the insertion point never matched, the removal did, and the counts were recomputed afterwards so every column looked internally consistent. Nothing in the output said anything was missing. It was caught by reading one board back rather than by trusting the tally, and reverted. The rewrite asserts the set of names in a board before and after the edit and refuses to write when they differ — which then immediately caught a second, smaller error, and later a third: the pattern used to find a column was swallowing the last chip’s closing tag, so the final name in every column was invisible, which is why four clubs looked clean on the first pass and were not.

And a gate, the twenty-fifth. tools/check-flowboards.js asserts two things about every chip on every board: a name in a retained column must not be a completed permanent sale in that page’s OUT26, and a name in a retained column must exist in that page’s data at all. It says nothing about incoming or outgoing columns, where naming a target from another club is correct, and it exempts chips whose own tag places them outside the squad table — a third-choice keeper in contract talks, a U21 needing no registration. Its first run reported seventy-one problems, of which twenty-four were its own fault: typographic apostrophes it could not match to straight ones, and editorial labels like “Third keeper slot” that are not players. Tested against the pre-fix pages, where it finds exactly twenty-six.

The reason this sat unseen is worth stating plainly. The deal arrays are gated. The ratio inputs are gated. The squad table is gated. The answer block, the league tables and the share cards are all derived. These boards were the one substantial thing on every club page that was neither derived nor checked — prose in the shape of a table, in a heavily-read tab — and they had been drifting for as long as they have existed. It took a reader with the live page open to find the first one.

2 Sept 2026

The Saudi deadline was five weeks out, and it is four days CORRECTION

This morning’s work put the Saudi Pro League window at 12 October and built a countdown, a gate and seven card tags on it. A reader said that sounded wrong — they had read it was days away. They were right.

The sources disagree. Wikipedia and Goal put the registration period at 22 July to 6 September; one tracker says 11 September; Sports Mole and AgentFlow say 12 October. The tell is arithmetic: 22 July to 12 October is 11.7 weeks, essentially FIFA’s twelve-week maximum for a registration period. That reads like somebody published the longest period permissible rather than the date actually announced. 6 September is 6.6 weeks, an ordinary window.

It is now carried at 6 September — the earliest credible date, chosen deliberately. The conservative error here is the early one: saying a shut window is open invents deals, which is the exact failure the window gate was written this morning to prevent. The countdown now reads four days rather than forty.

What is still unresolved: no source reachable from here separates Saudi domestic registration from international, so no such split is modelled. If one exists it is the international deadline that governs a sale out of England, and 12 October may well be a domestic-only extension rather than simply wrong. The date is flagged as contested on the deadline page rather than asserted.

Worth naming the pattern: the 12 October figure came from a single search result, and the source family it came from has now been wrong four times in this project — Hincapié’s fee, Trafford’s club, Fofana’s club, and this. A date that anchors a gate deserved a second source before it was written into twenty-one pages.

2 Sept 2026

The window is shut, and the site now says so — except where it isn’t CORRECTION

The Premier League window closed at 11pm on 1 September, so from the 2nd no rumour card here can describe a signing as something still pending: a registration cannot be lodged outside the window, however well sourced the link was. 139 cards are now marked JANUARY and priced as January deals rather than deals that can be done today.

But “the window” is not one thing, and flattening it would be the opposite error. A club that cannot buy can still sell: the Saudi Pro League runs to 6 September and the Süper Lig to the 4th; MLS closed on the 2nd. Bundesliga clubs finished earliest, on 31 August; Serie A, LaLiga and the Premier League all shut on the 1st. Six cards survive because they point at a league that outlasted England’s, and each has had its destination narrowed to the club that can actually still act. The seventh has already gone. Leon Bailey, whose card read “Al Diriyah” after Sevilla and Hull ran out of time, signed for Olympiacos on 2 September for £3.4m — which is the point of this section in one transfer. The English window shutting does not stop an English club selling, and it did not stop this one. It also proves a window this table does not list: Greece was still open on 2 September, and no closing date for it could be sourced, so none is stored rather than guessed.

The first countdown clock had been reading DONE against a label saying “days to window close”. It now counts to the Saudi deadline on 6 September — the one transfer deadline that still constrains these clubs, because they can still sell into it.

tools/check-window-state.js holds it: a card with no jan flag is asserting the deal can happen now, so its destination must sit in a window open today. It is date-driven rather than a one-off sweep — on 5 September the Türkiye cards stop being live and the gate says so without anyone remembering. It found six on Fulham that the first pass missed, because those rows are written with double quotes where the rest of the site uses single.

The countdown gate had a matching blind spot: it skipped any page without a club nav and only knew one label shape, so deadline/ was invisible to it — and was still counting to 1am on 1 October, the exact GMT-versus-BST bug that gate was written for, fixed on twenty pages and left on the twenty-first. It now reads both shapes, both const and var, and every page that carries a clock.

2 Sept 2026

An eighteenth gate: no transfer recorded on only one page METHOD

The two worst misses of this window were both one-sided. Liam Delap’s £45m move from Chelsea to Nottingham Forest was on neither club’s page, and Daniel Muñoz’s £20m move from Crystal Palace to Forest was absent from both too. Between them that is £65m of Forest’s spending, and their absence had Forest reading as comfortably compliant when the club is in fact over the 85% limit.

Nothing on this site could see either. The counterpart check compares fees for a player who appears on both pages — a different question, and one that is silent when a row is simply missing. There is no contradiction to detect in an absence, only the absence itself, which is the same reason a completed deal can sit undisturbed in the Rumour Mill.

The new check asks the absence question directly: for every completed Premier League to Premier League deal, is there a matching row on the other club’s page? Loans are excluded, because the borrowing club may carry one as a squad row rather than an incoming deal, and academy moves are excluded, because a selling club has no book value in a youth player to record.

It found one live defect immediately. Robertson was “Andy” on Liverpool’s page and “Andrew” on Tottenham’s, and a name mismatch defeats the fee check exactly as it defeats this one — both gates were blind to him. The names are now standardised. Verified by deleting the Delap row and watching the gate name it, and both check.sh and CI run all eighteen.

2 Sept 2026

A live rumour card for a deal this page had already done CORRECTION

Axel Disasi, whose loan arrival on 26 August is in the Ins table and whose grossed wages are already in the ratio — so ticking the card charged them a second time. This page’s answer block names that loan as the thing that tipped Palace over the limit, which is exactly the figure a double-count would corrupt.

Why it matters: a live card is priced by the scenario modeller. With the completed row in the table and the card still on the board, ticking it charged the same deal twice — once as history, once as a hypothetical.

Why nothing caught it: the rumour-already-gone check only compared a card against deals completed at other clubs. If the player had landed at this club, the check skipped him, and outgoing cards were never examined at all. So the one case guaranteed to double-count — a card for your own completed deal — was the one case invisible to the gate. Six cards were in that state across five clubs.

The check now also reads each page’s own Ins and Outs tables, in both directions, and fails on any live card for a deal already recorded there. Verified by reviving one of the six: the gate fails, and passes again once the card is dead. Marking a card dead does not move the headline ratio — the completed row was always counted — it only removes the card from the modeller.

2 Sept 2026

Muñoz’s £20m sale was missing, and it halves the overshoot CORRECTION

Daniel Muñoz joined Nottingham Forest on 30 August for £20m up front plus £2m in add-ons, and this page still had him in the back four. It carried the deal only as a rumour card projecting £25m and ~£19m of profit; the real sale came in £5m lower on both counts.

Profit ~£17.1m against a book of about £2.9m — £7m from Genk in January 2024, written down at ~£1.6m/yr. That is the shape Palace keep repeating: a cheap buy, three seasons of service, a sale that is almost all profit. About £4.7m/yr comes off the numerator and a non-homegrown place is freed.

Net effect: sales banked £57.0m → £77.0m and the ratio falls 76.6% → 73.4%. Palace are still over the 70% limit that applies in Europe, but the overshoot roughly halves, from £19.5m/yr to £10.3m/yr — undoing most of what Axel Disasi’s loan arrival had added four days earlier.

Also added: Rio Cardines on a season loan to Bristol City. Club-trained, no fee, so the whole ledger effect is £10k/wk of wage relief — recorded because a loan with no row leaves a player’s season invisible here, not because the number is material.

2 Sept 2026

Two late arrivals missing, one of them the strangest structure of the window CORRECTION

Ben Chilwell returned permanently from RC Strasbourg on a free, and the timing is the interesting part: Palace lodged a deal sheet before 11pm, which buys two extra hours to file paperwork, and completed the signing after the window had formally shut. That is the mechanism this site’s new window-closed notice refers to, and this is the deal that used it.

Honest Ahanor arrived on loan from Atalanta — and he is Chelsea’s player from 2027. Chelsea have agreed £40m with Atalanta for the 18-year-old; he spends this season at Selhurst Park, returns to Atalanta, then joins Chelsea next summer. The routing exists because of a Premier League rule, not a football one: clubs are capped on how many players they may loan to one club in a season, and Chelsea’s existing arrangements with Palace had used that up.

For Palace both are cheap in capital and not in wages: no fee capitalised on either, no book value, no amortisation, and two more salaries on a bill that was already the problem. The ratio goes 73.2% → 76.6% against the 70% limit, and the overshoot roughly doubles from £9.5m to £19.5m/yr. Both wages are estimates and flagged as such.

Also checked and not changed: a secondary source has Palace signing Malick Fofana and James Trafford this summer. Fofana went to Sunderland on deadline day and Trafford to Leeds for £40m. Neither belongs here.

2 Sept 2026

Mylo Bernard is still unannounced after the deadline, and that is not the contradiction it looks like ADVANCED

The 16-year-old’s move to Arsenal was reported agreed in early August and neither club had announced it when the window shut at 11pm on 1 September. Every other stalled deal on this site died at that moment. This one does not, and the reason is worth stating rather than leaving the row looking stale.

The deadline governs the registration of professional players between clubs. Bernard is sixteen and his schoolboy registration had expired, so Arsenal are not buying a registration at all — they owe Palace training compensation under the EPPP rules, and an academy move of that kind is not bound by the senior window. He can be registered as a scholar outside it. So the row stays at ADVANCED rather than being closed off with the deadline.

It carries no fee and about £0.1m of academy wage either way, so nothing here moves a headline number. Arsenal’s page still has no matching entry, which the counterpart gate flags and which is fair while the deal is unannounced on both sides.

31 Aug 2026

Three pages had the window shutting four hours early CORRECTION

Hull, Coventry and Newcastle counted down to 7pm on 1 September. The window shuts at 11pm, which is what the other seventeen pages said and what their clocks ran to. On the eve of deadline day, three club pages were telling readers they had four hours less than they did.

Both halves were wrong together, which is why nothing looked odd on those pages: the label said 7PM and the clock counted to 19:00, so they agreed with each other and disagreed with the rest of the site. The first fix here only corrected the labels, and the new gate immediately failed for the right reason, catching a symptom fixed without its cause.

Also tidied: a squad-list deadline written as “after the window closes (~2 September)”, where the date belongs to the list and the parenthetical made it read as hedging on the window itself. And the Premier League checkpoint countdown was set to midnight UTC on 1 October, which is one o’clock in the morning here, because it was stored as though Britain were on GMT in October rather than BST.

tools/check-countdowns.js now renders each stored target through Europe/London and compares it to the label written beside it. Timezone is the whole difficulty: 22:00 UTC is 11pm in September and would not be in December, so the two can only be compared after conversion. Broken on purpose in both directions before being trusted, once with a wrong label against a right clock and once the other way about.

This was found because a reader corrected something said in conversation, not by anything that runs. Sixteen gates check this site and none of them read a clock.

31 Aug 2026

The bolding was doing too much work — 2,316 signposts dropped EDITORIAL

A reader said the site reads as though a machine wrote it. That is worth measuring rather than arguing with, so it was measured.

The design came out fine. Claret and blue are the club’s own rather than the cream-and-terracotta that generated pages default to, the display face is Barlow Condensed rather than Inter, corners are three or four pixels rather than fully rounded, and there are five emoji on a 530KB page. Nothing there needed changing.

The prose was the problem, and one habit dominated: a bolded editorial sentence opening almost every paragraph. There were 2,612 of them, roughly one bold span every 62 words across half a million words of text. Bold is for things a reader scans for — a fee, a name, a date, a verdict. Used on the thesis of every paragraph it stops marking anything at all, and it is one of the most recognisable tells there is.

2,316 of those have gone. Figures, names, labels and short verdicts keep theirs. No wording changed anywhere, only tags, so nothing about the analysis moved and the whole pass reverts with one command. Density goes from one bold every 62 words to one every 85.

Two things this does not fix, stated plainly because the difference matters. The em-dash rate is 17.3 per thousand words against one to three in edited prose, and that needs a slower pass: a blanket substitution produces comma splices. And underneath both is a rhetorical habit no script reaches — signpost, then aphorism, then antithesis, three times a paragraph. That is the thing the reader actually noticed, and it has to be rewritten by hand.

One note on method: the first attempt stripped the bold from the two sentences that state the medical rule, which tools/check-deal-stage.js holds byte-identical across all twenty pages. The gate failed and the sentences are excluded now. It was written to guard a transfer convention and it caught a typography change, which is the argument for gating wording as well as arithmetic.

31 Aug 2026

Agent fees to 10%, the wage gross-up to 1.55x — both were too low, and the FA publishes the proof MODEL CHANGE

Two constants underneath every figure on this site have moved, at a reader’s prompting. The agent fee charged on a signing goes from 5% of the transfer fee to 10%, and the wage gross-up from 1.45x to 1.55x. Both were estimates that had never been checked against a published source. Both now have one.

The agent rate was checkable all along. The FA publishes what every club pays intermediaries. Between 4 February 2025 and 2 February 2026, Premier League clubs paid £460.3m — against the £3,137m of incoming fees this site records for that window, an implied rate of 14.7%, nearly three times the 5% being charged. Chelsea alone paid £65.1m, Aston Villa £38.4m. 10% is the figure taken, deliberately below the implied ceiling: the FA total also covers sales, loans and contract renewals, and only the buy-side portion is capitalised into a transfer’s cost. It is a floor with evidence under it rather than a rule of thumb.

The gross-up was missing a whole category of pay. It covered employer NI, bonuses and image rights — but not signing-on fees, and UEFA is explicit that they count. Annex G.3 of the Club Licensing and Financial Sustainability Regulations: all forms of consideration to and/or benefit of players, such as sign-on fees, must be treated as employee benefit expenses and not costs of a player’s registration. So they belong in the numerator, they sit with the wage rather than the amortisation, and they spread across the contract as a prepayment for services. Employer NI alone is 15%, so of the old 45% only about 30 points were doing the work of bonuses, image rights and signing-on fees together. 55% gives that last item somewhere to live.

What actually moved. League-wide, the annual cost this window adds rises from £1,257m to £1,330m. Twelve clubs’ wage inputs were re-derived by the bridge and reset to it; no club crossed a limit, and headline ratios moved by at most 0.9 of a point — mostly downwards, which is worth understanding rather than glossing: the gross-up applies to the net wage movement, and most clubs sold more wage than they bought, so a bigger multiplier makes a negative movement more negative. Every projection built on an old baseline was recomputed too, not just the baselines.

One piece of tidying that mattered more than it looks. The gross-up existed as a named constant and then as five hard-coded copies of 1.45 in the same file, on all twenty pages. They all now read the constant. A number duplicated a hundred times across a site is not a convention, it is a hundred chances to change ninety-nine of them.

30 Aug 2026

Nothing below a medical belongs in the Ins & Outs tables RULE CHANGE

Four rows leave, the most on any page. Out of the Ins table: Raphaël Le Guen, who had already been demoted from advanced on 5 August and so had sat below the table’s own threshold for over three weeks, and Alieu Njie, whose Rumour Mill card had been telling readers he was “also carried as an IN TALKS row” — a cross-reference that now reads correctly because there is nothing to cross-refer to. Out of the Outs table: Ismaïla Sarr, the biggest live story on the page and a lodged bid rather than an agreed one, and Romain Esse. Sarr and Esse gain something in the move: the Rumour Mill derives cost-freed and profit from their real squad rows rather than reading a typed figure, so both now come off actual book value.

The status ladder ran done → advanced → in talks → offer, and all four rungs were rendered as rows in the deal tables. The bottom two contributed nothing to any figure — every total on this site filters to done and advanced — which made them arithmetically harmless and editorially loud. A reader scanning the Ins table saw rows the club had never agreed to, in the same table, in the same shape, as business that is done. Being excluded from the totals is not visible; being in the table is.

The threshold is now a medical. A deal enters at advanced — terms agreed and the medical taken or booked, awaiting only an announcement — and moves to done when a club announces it. A loan row is an agreed loan. Everything short of that is interest, however well sourced, and interest lives in the Rumour Mill, where it can still be ticked and modelled against the ratio. Nothing has been deleted. A row that counted towards nothing still counts towards nothing; it is just no longer sitting where settled business sits.

Four figures did move, and they moved because they had been wrong. The headline ratios, the swing and the window balance all filter to done and advanced and were untouched. But the amortisation column added to the deal tables sums every row in the table with no filter at all, and writes its total into a footer labelled “TOTALS IN (confirmed/advanced)” — a total that named a filter it did not apply. The same total feeds the “Added by this window’s deals” and “Net change” lines under the run-off chart. So unagreed deals were being amortised into figures that said they excluded them:

  • Crystal Palace — added by this window’s deals +£12.4m/yr → +£6.6m/yr, nearly halved, because Le Guen (£12m) and Njie (£16m) were being amortised though neither fee exists; freed −£18.3m/yr → −£12.3m/yr; net −£5.9m → −£5.7m/yr.
  • Sunderland — added +£11.2m/yr → +£6.7m/yr and net change +£9.2m → +£4.8m/yr, on an asking price for Poku that no one had agreed to pay.
  • Brentford — added +£16.9m/yr → +£16.1m/yr, net +£16.5m → +£15.6m/yr.
  • Liverpool — totals out, wage ~£735k/wk → ~£725k/wk and cost freed £61m → £60.2m/yr, for a loan with no agreed destination.

The amortisation code has deliberately not been changed. Its filter is now the whole table, because the whole table is now business at a medical or beyond — and the fix belongs at the input, in one gate, rather than as a twenty-first copy of the same rule pasted into twenty pages of inline script. That is also the answer to why this survived: nothing compared a table’s footer against the label printed on it, and the rows doing the damage were invisible in every figure a reader would have checked.

Twelve rows moved across eight clubs, and the wording moved on all twenty. The ledes described the threshold nine different ways — “medical/verbal”, “option/verbal”, “talks/verbal”, “medical or negotiating” — and three of those promised a table that now excludes what they promised. One sentence states the rule on the Ins & Outs tab and its counterpart on the Rumours tab, identical on every page, and tools/check-deal-stage.js holds both to the letter as well as failing any deal row below the threshold. The gate was broken on purpose twice before being trusted: once by dropping a row’s stage entirely, which is the obvious way round a stage check, and once by adding a season array no hard-coded list would have known about.

30 Aug 2026

The Ins & Outs tab scrolled sideways on a phone, and so did every other tab CORRECTION

One table on this site sat outside a scroll container. The amortisation runoff — Season, Already here, This window, Combined — is 560px wide and had nothing but a margin on its wrapper, while every other table on the page sits inside .twrap with overflow-x:auto. At phone width it stretched the whole document about 200px past the viewport, and because it was the document scrolling rather than a box inside it, every tab slid sideways, not just the one containing the table. All twenty club pages, identically.

It is not new and it was not the Read more button. The version of this page from before that change overflows by exactly the same 597 pixels against a 390-pixel viewport, which is worth stating plainly rather than letting the newest change take the blame for the oldest bug.

Why it went unseen is the more useful part. The browser check that runs against every page loaded it at desktop width and never clicked a tab, so it could not have seen either half of this: not the narrow viewport, and not the tab the table lives on. It now runs at 390px and walks all twelve tabs on all twenty pages, failing on any page whose document scrolls horizontally. That costs real time on each run, which is the honest price of catching a class of fault that only exists on the device most readers use.

30 Aug 2026

The deal notes now fold away behind a button LAYOUT

The note under a player’s name is where the reasoning for a deal lives, and on the busiest rows it runs to several hundred words. Read end to end that is the point of the table; scrolled past on a phone it buries the row underneath and everything after it. Long notes now clamp to two lines with a Read more button, and short ones are left exactly as they were — a note that fits gets no furniture around it. The full text stays in the page whether or not it is open, so it is still searchable, copyable and printable.

It did not work the first time, and the reason is worth writing down. The clamp was styled on a single class, and the table already carried a td .glide-cap rule setting the notes to display as blocks — a more specific selector, so it won. The result was a button that toggled its own label and changed nothing else: the line-clamp property applied, the display property it depends on did not, and the note stayed full height. Checked in a browser at phone width rather than by reading the stylesheet, which is the only way that particular failure shows up.

30 Aug 2026

A sell-on reduces the profit, not just the cash — and the gate that should have said so was reading a different page CORRECTION

Asked whether everything a transfer actually contains was applied to the deals on this site, and one thing was not. A sell-on owed to a former club is a cost of the disposal: it comes off the profit booked, not only off the cash banked. This site deducted it from the window balance and the List A test and then left it out of profit entirely — and profit is what feeds the squad-cost denominator through the three-year average. It now comes off booked profit, so the only quantified clause on the site, Villa’s £15m to Middlesbrough on the £117m Rogers fee, is handled by the model rather than by hand.

The gate was passing green on a £15m disagreement, and the reason is worth recording. The trading bridge’s check pulls the profit function out of the page and runs it — but that function reaches outside its own block for the sell-on data, which the extract did not include. Undefined dependency, guard returns zero, and the checker quietly computed a different profit from the one the page computes. A checker that does not mirror the page is not checking the page. It now pulls its dependencies across too, and it failed immediately when it did.

No figure moves today. The £15m had already been taken off this club’s denominator by hand when the sell-on was first noticed; the anchor gives that third back so the arithmetic lands in the same place, and from here it flows automatically. The three other clauses on the site — Baleba, Reijnders and Chérif — are recorded as unquantified and still contribute nothing, which is honest rather than convenient: the exposure is real and the percentage has never been reported.

30 Aug 2026

One place from the ceiling on both counts at once NEW

The Premier League’s own squad rule arrives on this page. Until today it carried UEFA’s List A and nothing about the domestic quota — a different rule with different arithmetic: 25 senior places, no more than 17 non-homegrown, under-21s outside the list altogether, and players out on loan not registered at all.

Where this squad stands: 22 of the 25 places used, 7 homegrown and 15 non-homegrown, with 4 under-21s playing free of the list. They can name 24, not 25 — the seventeen non-homegrown ceiling runs out before the places do.

Homegrown is a registration test, not a passport test, which is why every player now carries a stated basis rather than a bare flag: three entire seasons, or 36 months, at any club affiliated to the FA or the FAW before the end of the season in which he turns 21. Nationality is not the question and repeatedly gives the wrong answer.

Why it was missing until now. The section was built for one club eleven months ago and the commit that shipped it said the other nineteen would follow. They did not, because an absent feature breaks no gate and nothing was watching for absence. Every count here derives from the squad table, and the same headcount gate that holds every other page holds this one.

30 Aug 2026

The sale-profit input now derives itself, like the wage input above it METHOD

in-psp is the three-year average player-trading profit in the squad-cost denominator, and it was hand-set on all twenty pages. The failure mode is the one the wage bridge was built to stop, one input along: a sale completes, its profit is booked in the table, and the figure meant to carry a third of it stays where somebody last typed it. It only ever moved when whoever booked the deal remembered — which is the definition of a number that will eventually be wrong.

The page now shows its working beside the input: the earlier years’ contribution, plus this window’s booked profit divided by three, because UEFA smooths player-trading profit over three years so one window enters at roughly a third. Booked means done and not a loan — an advanced deal has not completed and its profit is not in the accounts, which is also the convention this page was already kept on. The profit is net of the FIFA solidarity taken out of a foreign sale.

One thing about the anchor is worth stating rather than glossing. The earlier years’ figure is carried forward from the number this page already used, not sourced from published accounts, so the bridge agrees with today’s input by construction. It earns its keep from here on, by moving when a deal lands. Tested by planting a completed sale into the tables and leaving the input alone: the gate said the denominator was £20m short, which is exactly the silence it exists to break.

30 Aug 2026

A sale can lose money once FIFA has taken its 5%, and the formatter could not write it down CORRECTION

Modelling solidarity produced the site’s first negative profit on a completed sale. Villa banked ~£8.08m of Lucas Digne’s £8.5m fee against a book value of £8.5m, so that deal is a small loss rather than a break-even — which is the correct answer, and one the gross-fee basis could never produce.

The money formatter could not render it. It put the pound sign first and the minus wherever the number happened to start, so the cell read “£-0.4m” against a site that writes −£0.4m everywhere else. Nineteen pages had that version. Bournemouth had the correct one, negative-aware, written when its own trading profit went below zero — so the fix was to adopt the version already in the codebase rather than invent a twentieth. All twenty now share one formatter.

Checked in a browser rather than by inspection, because the failure this could introduce is a doubled sign where a caller already prepends its own minus: no malformed negative on any of the twenty, and no JavaScript error.

30 Aug 2026

FIFA takes 5% of every fee sold abroad, and this site had been booking 100% of it CORRECTION

Asked what else is inside a completed deal that these numbers miss, and the answer was the solidarity contribution. 5% of any international transfer fee is deducted from the fee and shared among the clubs that trained the player between 12 and 23. The mechanics decide who pays: the buying club hands over the headline number and distributes the 5% out of it, so a purchase costs exactly the fee already capitalised here — nothing was wrong on that side. The selling club banks 95%. Every profit booked on a sale abroad was therefore 5% too high, across all twenty pages, from launch. Around £28m league-wide.

On this page it is nothing: every sale with a fee this window went to an English club, and the mechanism only triggers when a transfer crosses between associations.

The glossary had been claiming this was modelled the whole time. It said the 4% Premier League levy and FIFA’s 5% solidarity contribution both capitalise into registration cost — true of the levy, true of solidarity for a buyer, and quietly untrue of the thing that actually matters, which is what a seller keeps. Documentation that describes a calculation the code does not perform is worse than no documentation, because it stops anyone looking.

It is derived, not typed. The deduction comes from where the player went, which puts all the weight on classifying a destination — and getting that wrong is silent: an English club missing from the list costs its seller 5% of a fee it actually keeps, and no total looks odd. So tools/check-solidarity.js refuses to classify by default. Every fee-carrying destination must be a club one of the two lists already knows; a name in neither fails until a human decides which it is. The gate also holds the twenty inline copies of the classifier to being identical, for the same reason the wage gross-up is a single constant.

One assumption is recorded rather than hidden: Cardiff, Newport, Swansea and Wrexham are Welsh clubs inside the English pyramid, and are treated here as domestic because their registrations run through the English system.

Also documented, deliberately not changed: add-ons are modelled all-in on a purchase and guaranteed-only on a sale. That asymmetry makes the buy column a best case and the sell column a conservative one, and it now says so on the page instead of being visible only to whoever recomputes the fees.

30 Aug 2026

Wages in the deal tables were understated by 45%, and the sentence describing the fix was wrong on nine other pages CORRECTION

The site grosses wages by 1.45 to cover employer NI, bonuses and image rights — everywhere except the two columns readers actually look at. The cost of an arrival and the relief from a departure in the Incomings and Outgoings tables were built from raw weekly wages, so every one of them understated the real charge. Both columns are now grossed through a single GROSS constant, so they cannot come apart again. The headline ratio does not move: it is computed from the wage, amortisation and agent inputs, which were already on the grossed basis. What moves is the Net SCR Swing card and the two columns feeding it.

Which is where the second problem was. The swing is derived from the deal arrays and was therefore right the moment the gross-up landed — but the same figure is also typed into the overview callout, and typed figures do not move. The cost swing in the overview read −£2.4m/yr against a computed +£11.1m/yr. Palace’s was the clearest case: it read “still negative” where the page computed a positive swing, so the sentence was not stale but inverted.

Nothing showed this in a browser. A small script copies the derived card into the overview span at load, so the screen self-healed while the file stayed wrong — the same failure as the share card that displayed correctly and shipped a stale number to anyone who read the source. tools/check-overview-figures.js now runs the page’s own formulas against the page’s own arrays and fails on any stated swing or profit that disagrees, in the callout or in prose. The changelog is excluded, because a dated entry is a record.

Two more holes closed while the gate was being written. The baseline gate knew five ways of phrasing a ratio and not the one in the most-read sentence on every page, which is how City carried “~65% ratio vs the 70% wall” against a computed 57.1%; it now reads that shape too. And tools/check-parity.js checks that CI runs every gate the local suite runs — twice a gate had been wired into one and not the other, and both times it was caught by eye rather than by anything.

30 Aug 2026

Ten answer blocks disagreed with their own pages — and the rule that lets that happen is now written down CORRECTION

The answer block is the first paragraph on every club page and the one a search engine quotes. It states four things that are all derivable — the ratio, the headroom or overshoot, what the club has banked from sales, what it has committed on signings — and only the ratio had a gate. Ten of the twenty disagreed with their own data. Brighton said £91.9m banked against £156.9m of completed sales; Manchester United £89m committed against £154m; Sunderland £0m against £32.6m; Forest was wrong on all three. Every answer block is now written from the deal tables and the ratio inputs rather than typed, and a gate holds them there.

One of the ten was two days old and mine. Manchester City’s said “£338m banked from sales”, which came from reading a total that includes advanced deals into a sentence that says banked. It is £288m. Advanced business is committed, not banked, and the gate now applies that distinction rather than trusting whoever writes the sentence to remember it.

Chelsea, Fulham and Ipswich stated no headroom at all, because they are over their line and the sentence had been written for clubs that are under it. They now say by how much: −£23.3m, −£19.2m and −£17.7m per year.

And the underlying rule is now recorded in the repo rather than relied on. A club page is twelve sections plus the head, the same quantity is stated in several of them, and every significant error here has had one shape: a figure corrected where somebody noticed it and left standing everywhere else. tools/echoes.js reports which sections state a given figure before it is edited, and the gates that exist because of this rule are listed alongside it. Anything derivable gets derived; anything typed gets a gate.

30 Aug 2026

No gate had ever read a headcount CORRECTION

Ten gates run on every build and not one of them counted players. They read percentages, deal statuses, transfer rows, bar widths and card images — so a sentence saying “nineteen senior players, six places unused” could sit beside a card correctly showing 22 and 3, indefinitely, with everything green.

There is now a gate that recounts from the squad table, using the page’s own registration rule rather than a second copy of it: a player is on the list unless he is loaned out or under 21 on the season’s cut-off, and the cut-off is read from the page rather than assumed. It checks the registered total, the homegrown and non-homegrown split, the free places and the under-21 count, in both digits and words.

It missed one of its own test cases on the first run. “Six more players are under 21” begins a sentence, so the word is capitalised, and a lowercase-only pattern walked straight past it — found only by planting each stale figure back and checking the build failed. Four claim types, four confirmed failures, then green. A check you have not watched fail is a guess about what it catches.

30 Aug 2026

The hero stat cards were three-across on a phone, and four of them left an orphan LAYOUT

Reported on Villa: three columns on a 430px screen squeezed the longest card into a ribbon, and because that page carries four cards rather than three, the fourth dropped alone onto a second row beside two empty cells. Below 760px the grid is now two columns, which gives Villa a clean 2×2.

The other nineteen pages carry three cards, so two columns would have left an orphan there instead. A lone last card now spans the full row rather than sitting beside a hole — so three reads as two-then-one and four reads as two-and-two, without a special case for either.

Desktop had the same orphan and nobody had mentioned it. Four cards in a fixed three-column grid is unbalanced at every width, not just on a phone. The grid fits its own content now, so Villa gets four across on a wide screen and the three-card pages are unchanged. Measured at 390, 430 and 1400px rather than eyeballed.

And the card that caused it got shorter. Villa’s List A churn description had just been lengthened to fix an arrival count, which is what made it tower over its neighbour. The names moved out — they are on the Ins & Outs tab — and every figure in it stayed.

30 Aug 2026

A stale ratio phrased one way slipped a gate built for another CORRECTION

The prose-baseline gate catches “roughly N% of football revenue”. It did not catch “sit at roughly N%”, which is how the glossary phrases the same claim — so a stale ratio could sit in a definition indefinitely while the identical statement in the FAQ was checked on every build. Found on Villa, where the glossary was two revisions behind the page.

Extending the rule found the same fault on three more pages nobody had asked about. Arsenal’s glossary said 64% against 66.1% computed; Fulham’s said 90% against 94.0%; Ipswich’s said the ratio “sits at roughly 85% — on the line” when it is 94.6%, about ten points over. Ipswich’s sentence also quoted a “~£106m gross window” that the deal table puts at ~£147m. That one was wrong twice and read as reassurance both times.

A gate that matches one phrasing of a claim is a gate against that phrasing, not against the claim. Both forms are checked now, and the extension was tested by planting the old figure back and confirming the build fails.

30 Aug 2026

Both loan bars read as full when only one quota was used CORRECTION

Reported by a reader looking at Villa on a phone, and right. The card showed two full amber bars, so both ceilings looked hit — when the line under the second one said 6 of 6 international slots still free. Only the domestic quota was used. The bar was hard-coded to 100% and had nothing to do with the sentence beneath it.

Every one of these bars was a literal width typed in beside the text it was meant to summarise. That is the same fault as the headline reading “1 + 6 Left” above a body saying none left, which already had a gate; the bar had simply never been looked at. They are derived now — “N of M remaining” means M−N used, and the width and the colour come from that, so the picture and the sentence cannot disagree. Amber only when nothing is left, which is the point at which a quota starts deciding what a club can do.

Writing the check found four more pages the report had not mentioned. Fulham, Ipswich, Tottenham and Coventry each had a quota line with no bar above it at all, so the international ceiling was invisible on those cards. And Chelsea’s international bar sat at 33% beside a sentence that stated no count whatsoever — nothing could have derived it and nobody could have checked it. That line now says 5 of 6 senior slots remaining and shows its working: Badiashile at Napoli is the one senior non-club-trained loan abroad, with Antwi and Murray-Campbell treated as academy and therefore exempt. Disagree with that classification if you like — the point is that it is now possible to.

The gate checks the source, not just the screen. Villa’s rendered card was fixed by the derivation the moment it was added, while the hard-coded 100% was still sitting in the file — correct in the browser, wrong in the thing a checker reads and the thing that renders before any script runs. Both are right now, and the gate compares the typed width against the stated numbers so a hand edit cannot quietly reintroduce it.

30 Aug 2026

Deep audit of the rules and the inputs: the wage figure had drifted from its own derivation on five clubs CORRECTION

The rule constants are unanimous across all twenty pages and all correct — the £105m PSR cap, the €60m earnings limit, the five-year amortisation cap and its 1 July 2023 start, the 4% Premier League levy, the 1 January 2005 under-21 cut-off, 17 non-homegrown of 25, two concurrent domestic loans and six international. Thirty-nine separate statements of the five-year cap; not one disagreed with another. That is the half of this audit with nothing to report, and it is worth reporting that it has nothing to report.

Every club’s cap now agrees with its European status. In Europe the UEFA line is 70%, outside it the Premier League’s is 85% — fifteen points of headroom turning on a single yes/no, asserted in three places at once and checked in none. All twenty agree: nine in Europe at 70%, eleven outside at 85%. A gate now enforces it, because a club’s European status is exactly what changes between seasons.

The real finding is the wage input. This site’s stated convention is that the wage figure IS the wage bridge’s own derivation on every accounts-basis club — that is what makes the league table comparable, and what makes the input track the window instead of sitting at a pre-window figure nobody updates. It had decayed on five clubs, because deals get booked by hand and the input gets nudged by hand with them, and a nudge drifts from the derivation the moment the arithmetic differs by a rounding. Tottenham were £22m adrift. All five are now set to the derivation and a gate holds them there. Promoted clubs are correctly exempt and the bridge explains why in its own text: a wage bill roughly doubles on going up, so last season’s accounts are the wrong anchor in both directions at once.

One club changes compliance status as a result. Bournemouth go from 69.8% to 71.2% — from just inside the 70% cap to about £3.4m/yr over it, in their first European season, on the tighter cap that European qualification brings. Tottenham move 64.6% to 68.3%, Forest 81.9% to 82.7%, Manchester City 57.7% to 57.1%, Villa 64.0% to 63.8%.

And two more pages were flooring their headroom at zero. Ipswich read “£0m of room” while sitting £17.8m/yr over the 85% line; Bournemouth would have done the same on crossing it. The same defect was fixed on Palace four days ago and not looked for elsewhere — which is the lesson, not the bug. Both now state the overshoot.

What the audit could not do. Every football site and reference database is blocked from this environment, so the transfer tables were reconciled internally — squad rows against deal rows, amortisation floors against inputs, both sides of every intra-league move — and checked externally only as far as search summaries allow. Internally they reconcile on all twenty clubs. That is a real guarantee about consistency and not a guarantee about completeness, and the £50m signing found missing yesterday is what the difference looks like.

30 Aug 2026

The share card is now checked like everything else — and two gates had never run in CI at all CORRECTION

Rebuilding the cards fixed today’s figures and fixed nothing about tomorrow’s. A generator someone has to remember to run is exactly what produced a card reading 60.2% four days out of date, so the question is not whether the cards are right now but whether they can go wrong again quietly. A gate now recomputes the card’s figures from the page and compares them against the token the builder stamped into the meta tag. Move any input — a wage, a fee, a sale — and the build fails until the card is rebuilt. It was tested by nudging Villa’s wage input and confirming the failure, and by stripping the token to confirm that fails too.

The builder and the gate read the figures through one shared module. Two copies of the same calculation drifting apart is the failure this site has hit more than any other, and it would be absurd to reintroduce it in the check designed to prevent it.

And checking the CI list against the local one turned up a real gap. Two gates — the one that catches stale ratio figures in prose, and the loan-quota headline check — existed, worked, and had never run in CI. They only ran when someone ran the full suite by hand, which means a direct push could have deployed stale numbers with a green tick. Both now run on every push, and the two lists are asserted to match. The prose-baseline gate is the one that has caught the most this week, and it was the one running least often.

30 Aug 2026

The share cards were showing a ratio four days and six deals out of date CORRECTION

The squad cost ratio is printed into the card image itself, which is fine until the ratio moves. Villa’s card said 60.2% against a page saying 64.0% — the figure from before the Goretzka wage correction, and before Jackson, Martínez, Suzuki, Ruggeri and the rest. Anyone sharing the link was posting a number this site had stopped believing on 27 August. Chelsea’s said 83% against 88.7%; Manchester City’s said ~65% against 57.7%.

There was no generator. The cards were made once, by hand, on 26 August and left, so nothing could have kept them current. There is one now: tools/build-og-cards.js reads every figure from the page it belongs to and rebuilds all twenty, and it runs like any other build step.

Cache-busting is the part that actually matters for sharing. X and Facebook cache a card image against its URL for days, so replacing the file in place does nothing for a link anyone has already posted. Each card’s meta tag now carries a version token derived from the figures on it, so the URL changes exactly when the picture changes and not otherwise.

The number is now coloured the way the page colours it — green three points clear of the limit, amber up to it, red past it. A card showing Ipswich at 94.6% against an 85% line in the same neutral cream as one showing Manchester United at 56.9% throws away the only thing a reader takes from a shared image.

And a gate now checks the alt text against the computed ratio, because that was stale too and in a way nobody would ever notice: six pages carried figures in the card’s alt attribute that no longer matched, including one that had never matched any published base. It was tested by planting the old 60.2% and confirming the build fails.

30 Aug 2026

Full pre-deadline audit of all 20 clubs — one £50m transfer was missing entirely SWEEP

Nico González, Manchester City to Newcastle, ~£50m, completed and announced. Medical taken, presented to supporters before the West Brom cup tie, No.6 shirt issued — and absent from both pages. It is the largest single omission this site has had to correct, and it moved two ratios materially: City 60.4% → 57.7% with headroom out to £100.2m, Newcastle 70.8% → 74.7% with headroom down to £46.8m against their 85% line. The fee is reported as reaching £50m after add-ons, so the guaranteed portion is lower and unpublished; £50m is carried on both sides because a counterpart has to agree, and it is flagged. The same number cannot be conservative for both clubs at once — it flatters City’s profit while overstating Newcastle’s charge — and that is stated rather than smoothed over.

Everything else checked out, which is the more useful result. Forty-odd names drawn from external reporting were tested against the pages one by one and every single one was already there. Where the reporting and this site disagreed, this site was right: one summary placed Detourbet, Monga and Rulli at Nottingham Forest when all three are Manchester City signings, and another had Bouaddi at Forest when City announced him.

Two numeric errors found by audit rather than by reading. Manchester City’s Kalvin Phillips loan credited £11.3m of relief when a loan frees the wage and none of the amortisation — the registration stays, and so does the charge. Corrected to £7.8m. Nottingham Forest’s Gustavo Sá loan freed nothing at all when Olympiacos pay his wages; corrected to £1.8m. Two more outgoing loans, at Leeds and Liverpool, carried no loan flag, so the amortisation book and the List A gate were treating them as permanent sales.

Eight new checks, and they were run against real data before being trusted. A completed permanent signing must have a squad row; a sold player must not still be in one; a destination reading “loan” must carry a loan flag; no duplicate squad rows; no fee without contract dates; no end date before the signing date; no signing dated in the future; no expired contract still in the squad. All eight are clean across all twenty clubs, and two were deliberately broken to confirm they fail. Three earlier checks this week passed on their first run because they were wrong, not because the data was right, so nothing goes in now without being made to fail first.

What this sweep cannot claim. Every football site, news aggregator and reference database is blocked from this environment, so external checking is search summaries only — and those summaries mixed up clubs twice in this pass alone. The internal consistency of these pages is now verified exhaustively and mechanically. Their completeness against the real world is verified as far as search allows, which is not the same thing, and the González miss is what that gap looks like.

30 Aug 2026

The stale-rumour gate could only see half the market — two more boards were selling players who had left CORRECTION

Yesterday’s gate checked live rumours against completed incomings at other clubs. That catches a player who moved between Premier League clubs and nothing else. Two whole classes of exit were invisible to it, and both had live cards sitting on boards.

A player sold abroad appears in no incoming table anywhere. Spurs sold Cristian Romero to Atlético Madrid and announced it on 15 August; Arsenal’s board went on offering him to the scenario modeller for a fortnight. The gate now reads completed outgoing rows as well, taking the destination from the row itself — which is derivable, and should have been there first time.

And a move between two non-Premier-League clubs is recorded on no page at all. Bayern sold João Palhinha to Benfica on 26 August — €14m plus up to €5m, contract to 2030 — and Newcastle’s card still read “door ajar again”. Nothing structural could ever have caught that, so there is now a small list at tools/gone.json for exactly this case, and the gate fails against it. Two names so far: Palhinha, and Leão to Galatasaray.

One false positive, worth recording because it nearly shipped. The first version read Jadon Sancho’s outgoing row — destination “Free agent” — as him having joined a club called Free agent, and would have killed two perfectly live cards. A released player has left a club and joined nobody: he is more signable, not less. Release destinations are now excluded, while a row naming an onward club after an arrow still counts. All three arms were then tested by un-flagging a closed card and checking the gate fired, because a check nobody has seen fail is not yet a check.

Cards closed: Romero (Arsenal), Palhinha (Newcastle), Cho (Hull, where Hull themselves ended the talks on 10 August). Each keeps its note as the record and leaves the modeller.

30 Aug 2026

Dead rumours were still tickable — three players could be “signed” on boards they had already left CORRECTION

The scenario modeller priced any card you ticked, including cards whose own tag said the player was gone. Newcastle’s board offered Nicolas Jackson after he had joined Villa; the tag read “DEAD — JOINED ASTON VILLA” and ticking it still moved the ratio. Liverpool’s offered Ezri Konsa, an Arsenal player since 20 August. Chelsea’s offered Ousmane Diomande, who is at Forest. This site has named that exact contradiction in its own changelog — “a completed deal and a live rumour for the same player” — and then kept shipping it, because nothing was looking for it.

Now something looks. A gate fails any live incoming rumour naming a player who has completed a move to another club, which is derivable from the transfer tables rather than from a tag somebody remembered to type. Only incoming cards are checked: an outgoing rumour naming a player another club has signed is the same move seen from the selling side, and that is correct. It found all three on its first run.

Dead cards now stay on the board and leave the model. They keep their note as the record of what a club looked at, greyed, with the tick removed and the impact line replaced by “no longer available”. Deleting them would lose the history; leaving them live was worse.

30 Aug 2026

The Disasi loan put Palace over the 70% line — a signing with no fee and no amortisation OFFICIAL

Announced 26 August by both clubs: a season loan, no option and no obligation. Chelsea pay nothing and receive nothing; Palace pay the wages. On this tracker’s reading that is ~£9.0m/yr of grossed pay with no fee, no amortisation and no transfer figure to report.

And it is enough to move the compliance position. Palace were at 69.8%, a whisker inside the 70% cap their European qualification imposes; they are now 72.9%, about £8.6m/yr over. A loan did that. A £30m permanent signing adding the same cost would have been scrutinised on the fee; this one arrived with no fee to scrutinise. This site has argued all summer that loans get treated as free when they are not — on the way out, a loan frees the wage and never the amortisation; on the way in, it adds the wage and never shows up in a net-spend table. Palace are now the clearest example of the second half of that.

What it does not mean. The 70% line is not a hard bar on registering players and being over it is not a breach by itself — UEFA tests the calendar year and the club has until 31 December to move the number. But it turns a comfortable position into one that needs an exit, and the exits available are Mateta (67.7%) and Wharton (63.5%), both of which would clear it on their own.

30 Aug 2026

Deadline-week sweep: four announced deals the tables had missed, and a gate that was crying wolf SWEEP

Four deals were sitting at “advanced” after their clubs had announced them. Bouaddi to Manchester City — announced on the club’s own site on 26 August, and carried here as unannounced for four days, with the prose quoting “~£95m/€110m… agreed in principle” when the real deal is £81.3m fixed plus £4.3m of add-ons on a contract to 2031. Badiashile to Napoli, announced 22 August. Disasi to Crystal Palace, announced 26 August by both clubs. And Emi Martínez to Chelsea, announced by Villa on 30 August. All four are now booked, with the ratios on five pages moving as a result.

The Disasi loan is the one with a consequence nobody was watching. Palace were sitting a whisker inside the 70% cap that their European qualification imposes. Taking a £120k/wk centre-back on loan added ~£9.0m/yr of grossed wages and put them over it — a loan, with no fee, no amortisation and no transfer to report, moving a compliance position that a £30m signing would have been scrutinised for. This page has argued all summer that loans are treated as free when they are not; this is the arithmetic saying it.

And the prose-baseline gate was flagging a correct sentence. It reads any “roughly N% of football revenue” as a claim about the club’s own ratio — but “capped at roughly 70% of football revenue” describes the LIMIT, and Palace’s page says exactly that, twice. A gate that fails on correct text is worse than one that stays quiet, because the next person learns to skim past it. It now ignores the phrase when cap or limit wording precedes it, and it still fails on a genuinely stale figure — checked by planting one before shipping.

28 Aug 2026

The league window table was wrong on 19 of its 20 rows — and an edit ate two deal rows without a single gate noticing CORRECTION

The “Who’s Selling to Survive” table is a derivation and had stopped being one. Its own caption defines it exactly — disclosed fees on officially completed 2026 deals, loans and frees excluded — so every figure in it can be recomputed from the transfer tables it summarises. Nineteen of the twenty rows disagreed with those tables. Six clubs were shown as having spent nothing at all, including Newcastle at £0 against £174.9m of completed incomings and Manchester City at £0 of sales against £238m. The rows were hand-maintained, the pages moved on, and nothing compared the two. All twenty are now derived from the pages, with the hand-written notes kept, and a gate recomputes them so the table cannot drift from the deals again.

The second fault is worse, because it was self-inflicted and invisible. Promoting Jackson spliced his row out of one array and into another by matching the next }, — and deal rows share source lines, so the edit swallowed whatever followed on the same line. Goretzka’s incoming row vanished from Villa and Kellyman’s outgoing row from Chelsea. All eight gates passed. A missing row breaks no parse, satisfies every invariant, and simply makes the totals smaller — and nothing on the page knew what they should have been.

Two things now catch it. A squad player signed inside the window must also appear in the incoming table, which is a real structural invariant: the squad row survives when the deal row dies, so it is the witness. That check found a third case immediately, one nobody had touched today — Forest’s Gustavo Sá has had a squad row since July, with a book value and an amortisation charge, and his incoming row was never written. A changelog entry from that sweep claims he was added “both halves of him”. One half was missing. And for outgoing rows, which leave no trace on the page once the player has gone, there is now tools/diff-rows.js: it reports every deal row added or removed against a git ref, to be read before committing rather than after.

27 Aug 2026

A free transfer was costing the window totals nothing at all — £35.7m/yr across six pages CORRECTION

The cost-per-arrival calculation returned zero for any signing without a fee unless the row also carried a loan flag. So a free signing’s wages vanished from “cost added by this window” entirely. Goretzka was showing as costing Villa £0.0m. On the very page whose card argues that “the free one is the expensive one — a fee buys an asset that amortises and can be sold, a wage buys nothing and recurs”. The card was right and the arithmetic underneath it dropped the wage.

£35.7m/yr was missing across six pages: Villa £13.6m (Goretzka, Özcan, Guessand), Palace £8.1m (McNeil, Guessand), Liverpool £7.8m (Araújo), Everton £4.9m (Johnson), Coventry £1.1m, Fulham £0.2m. Villa’s window swing moves from +£12.4m/yr to +£26.0m/yr.

There were seven different versions of that one line across twenty pages, each special-casing frees and loans slightly differently, and the differences were exactly what caused this. They are now one formula — the one Hull already used: amortisation and the agent fee when there is a fee, and the wage on every arrival, fee or not.

And it exposes something this card cannot fix by itself. The List A gate carried a hand-typed margin of “Villa pass by ~£3.5m/yr” on the cost-based test. The page’s own sums now put the window at adding ~£26m/yr. That figure predates Jackson and Watkins, and the window totals count wages ungrossed while the ratio grosses them, so the two were never on one basis. The cost-based margin is now marked UNVERIFIED rather than passing — the fee-based balance above it is sound, that one is not, and saying so beats printing a number that cannot be reproduced.

27 Aug 2026

A headline that contradicted its own paragraph — and nine more stale ratios behind it CORRECTION

Villa’s loan-quota card said “1 + 6 Left” in green, directly above a paragraph reading “0 of 2 concurrent remaining” and “ROOM: none left domestically”. Wan-Bissaka’s loan on 18 August took the second slot. The body was updated; the big number at the top was not. So the figure a reader sees first said a slot was free while the text underneath called the same thing a binding constraint. The bar sat at 50% with nothing left, and the card was still green. Crystal Palace had the same shape — “2 + 6” above “1 of 2”, left over from before the Guessand loan.

The failure runs one way every time: the prose gets edited and the summary above it does not. tools/check-quotas.js now fails when a loan-quota headline disagrees with its own body, including when the room note says “none left” and the headline disagrees. Verified by sabotage — put the wrong number back and it fails on exactly that.

Then the baseline gate was widened and found nine more. It was matching “ratio is X%” and “X% → Y%” but not the Quick Answers phrasing, “roughly 63% of football revenue” — which is the plain-English answer a reader or a search engine is most likely to lift. Brentford were claiming 75% while computing 84.9%. Manchester City 65% against 57.3%. Newcastle 74% against 70.8%. Ten pages rebased from their own inputs.

Two gates, two days, and both found more than the bug that prompted them. That is the argument for writing the check rather than the fix: the fix closes one hole, the check tells you how many others there were.

27 Aug 2026

The baseline gate had a hole in it and was passing on what it could not see CORRECTION

The gate shipped this morning excluded the changelog by truncating each page at <section id="log">. The data arrays holding every rumour card sit in a script block after that point. So it was scanning 167KB of a 422KB page, never saw a single card’s projection, and reported green.

It now removes only that section and keeps the rest. On the first honest run it immediately found eleven stale figures across three pages — every Villa projection still quoting a baseline two changes old, and two on Chelsea. All recomputed.

A gate with a hole in it is worse than no gate, because no gate makes you check and a green one stops you looking. This one was written, tested against the case that prompted it, and shipped — and the case that prompted it happened to sit in the part of the file it could still see.

One rule came out of it. A live rumour card may state a projection, because the gate now keeps it honest against the current base. A completed deal may not: “60.2% → 63.4%” was true the day it was written and decays the moment anything else moves, and the effect is already in the headline. Those now state what the deal costs instead.

27 Aug 2026

A new gate: does the prose still quote the ratio the page computes? CORRECTION

Twelve of the twenty pages were asserting a squad cost ratio their own inputs no longer produced. Manchester City claimed 63.0% while computing 57.3%. Manchester United said 53.9% against 56.9%, Sunderland 60.9% against 63.2%, Coventry 69.7% against 71.0%. Every one has been rebased from the page’s own figures.

Most of it sat in the answer paragraph and its structured-data twin — the text search engines and AI crawlers read before anything else, which makes it the worst place on the page to be stale. The headroom figures beside them were rebased too.

Nothing was catching this. The status gate reads deal status; the invariants gate reads the arrays; neither reads a percentage in a sentence. It surfaced only because a single free transfer moved one club’s baseline and the knock-on was visible. tools/check-baselines.js now recomputes every page’s ratio from its inputs and fails on prose asserting a different one, and it runs with the rest on every change.

Two things it deliberately does not flag. A sentence reading “68.6% → 62.0%” where 62.0% is the current ratio is a completed move being described, not a stale claim, so a done deal can still say what it did. And the changelog is excluded entirely: a dated entry recording August’s number is the record, and rewriting it to match today would be the opposite of what this tab is for.

26 Aug 2026

The amortisation graph now splits the squad you had from the squad you bought FEATURE

One bar was hiding the more interesting number. The run-off now stacks two series — the squad that was already here in blue, and everyone signed this window in amber — with both totals and a combined figure above it, and a per-season split beside each bar.

It changes what the chart says about a club. A settled squad shows a thin amber band on a thick blue one; a rebuild inverts it. Coventry carry £14.0m already here against £28.9m signed this window, so two-thirds of their amortisation arrived in ten weeks, and their inherited book runs out entirely by 2028/29 while the new one still has three years to run. Liverpool are the other extreme at £143.6m against £18.4m. Same chart, opposite stories, and neither was visible when it was one bar.

Who counts as “this window” is taken from the signing date, not from the flag the squad rows carry. The two disagree: the date catches six players the flag had missed — Garnacho and Cissé here at Villa, Bentley at Coventry, Charles at Fulham, Sá and Diomande at Forest — and never disagrees the other way. A derived test cannot be forgotten the way a hand-set one can, which is the same reasoning that put the sell-ons and the outgoing amortisation on derivations.

Two rows of figures now sit above the chart and they will not always agree, so the panel says which is which rather than leaving a reader to spot it. The first row and the graph are the SQUAD, split by arrival date. The second row is the DEALS, including advanced ones whose players are not in the squad table yet. Where they differ the panel names the gap and what it is — agreed business that has not completed.

26 Aug 2026

Every deal now shows what it costs per year — and the agent fee was being charged five times over FEATURE + FIX

A fee only means something against the charge it creates. £47.5m is a headline; £9.9m a year for five years is the thing that reaches the squad cost ratio. Until now this page printed the fee on every row and the amortisation on none of them. Both tables now carry an AMORT £m/yr column, and a panel underneath gives the number those rows add up into: the squad’s total annual amortisation, what this window has added and freed, and how the charge runs off over the next five seasons as existing deals finish.

None of it is newly typed data, which is the point. Incoming charges come from the player’s own squad row where one exists — real contract dates, five-year cap applied where it bites — and from fee over five years where a deal is advanced and the player is not in the squad yet, flagged est when that happens. Outgoing charges are derived rather than stored: a row’s cost-freed figure is the ungrossed wage plus the amortisation, so subtracting the wage leaves the charge that stops. They cannot drift from the totals above them because they are computed from them.

Loans show a zero, and that is the correct answer rather than a missing one. A loan moves the wage and leaves the registration here, so the amortisation stays too — the point this site has made about loans since the wage bridge, now visible as a column entry instead of a paragraph.

And a bug the new column sat straight on top of. The cost-per-year calculation behind these tables charged the agent fee in full every single year instead of capitalising it and spreading it over five — the same error corrected in the scenario modeller last week and missed here. On a £47.5m signing it overstated the annual cost by £1.9m. Every SCR-cost figure in the Ins and Outs tables, and the window’s cost-added total, move down accordingly.

One thing the new column makes visible and this page is not hiding: the SCR cost figures in these tables count wages at face value, while the rumour cards, the scenario panel and the wage bridge gross them up 1.45x for employer NI, bonuses and image rights. The same signing can therefore read £17.1m in the table and £20.2m on its card. The grossed figure is this site’s convention and the table is the odd one out. It is stated in the panel rather than quietly reconciled, because restating it moves every published window total on all twenty pages and deserves its own pass.

25 Aug 2026

The “last updated” notice is gone — it had stopped telling the truth REMOVED

There were two of them. A line under the header reading “DEALS & FEES AS REPORTED [date] · BOOK VALUES & CALCS RECOMPUTE DAILY”, and a script that read that date and, once it was four days old, pushed an amber banner above the header warning that the page had last been checked N days ago.

The second one was firing on all twenty pages. The date it keyed off was hand-typed and ranged from 9 to 19 August across the site — while the deals underneath had in fact been swept on the 24th and 25th. So the site was leading with a warning about itself, generated from the one number on the page that nobody was maintaining. A staleness notice that is itself stale is worse than none: it tells readers to distrust figures that are current.

Both are removed, with their CSS. Nothing else changes — every ratio, book value and window total is unaffected, and the dated entries in this changelog remain the honest record of when each page was actually worked on.

23 Aug 2026

You can now change the numbers — and the card line beside them was still wrong FEATURE + FIX

Every fee on the rumour board is somebody’s estimate. Brugge “value him around €45m”. Al-Hilal’s bid reached this site in the wrong currency and had to be chased down. Marmoush’s fee is arithmetic off a reported two-player budget rather than a figure anyone published. Readers were being asked to take those guesses as given.

So the amounts are editable now. Every card carries a fee box, and incoming cards a wage box too. Type your own number and the card’s cost line and the scenario panel both follow it immediately. Reset puts the reported figure back — overrides are held separately and the underlying data is never overwritten, so there is always something true to return to. Outgoing cards expose the fee but not the wage, because an outgoing player’s relief is derived from his squad row rather than typed, and the fee is the part that actually moves the profit on the sale.

And a fix that should have landed with the modeller rebuild. The card’s own “ADDS £Xm/yr” line was still running the OLD formula — ungrossed wages, and the agent fee charged in full every year. The calculation underneath was corrected; the display beside it was not, so every card showed one number while the panel below computed another. On this site’s own worked example the card said £10.1m and the panel used £10.7m — the exact discrepancy that rebuild was written to explain, sitting in the markup the whole time. Both now call the same helper, and that is checked on all twenty pages: tick a card, and its figure and the panel’s agree.

22 Aug 2026

The 22 August sweep, and a modeller that was wrong three ways DATA + METHOD

Disasi arrives with no obligation attached. This page had Palace submitting a loan with a £20m obligation to buy; the agreed deal has neither option nor obligation, so the committed-purchase liability comes off. Palace carry 100% of the wage. Sarr has moved a rung: Galatasaray have lodged an official bid and the ask is now reported at ~€60m, up from ~€40m, while Sarr's personal terms are agreed with Fenerbahçe — two Turkish clubs, one player, and a price that has risen 50% in a fortnight.

The scenario modeller was wrong in three ways at once, on every page on this site. An incoming signing's wage was charged with no gross-up, while the wage bridge, the ratio inputs and every note here gross wages by 1.45x for employer NI and image rights — so every modelled signing was 45% cheaper on the wage line than the same player would be in the ratio directly above it. The agent fee was charged in full every year instead of being capitalised with the fee and amortised, so a £60m signing carried £3m/yr of agent cost rather than £0.6m. And sale profit never reached the denominator: nineteen pages let a sale relieve the numerator and stop, when the profit also lands in the denominator through the three-year average, and the twentieth added the whole window's profit when one window belongs at roughly a third.

Why none of it showed up. The first two faults pull in opposite directions and roughly cancel at a typical fee-to-wage ratio — for a £25m signing on £70k/wk the old code gave £10.09m/yr against a true £10.73m, close enough to look right. They do not cancel at the edges: a free transfer on big wages was understated by 45%, a big fee on modest wages overstated by about 9%. Two errors that hide each other are worse than one that does not.

Outgoing relief is now derived, not typed. The hand-set relief on all eighty outgoing rumour cards carried the same ungrossed wage — checked against the squad, the stated figures reproduced the ungrossed derivation almost exactly. Relief and profit now come from the squad row, on the same gross-up and the same five-year cap as everything else, with the typed figure kept as a fallback for the handful of names with no squad row. Profit is allowed to be negative, because some of these sales are losses and the page should say so.

20 Aug 2026

Two method changes: the five-year cap, and the wage input becomes the derivation METHOD

The ratio moves from 72.2% to 69.8% (wages 133→126).

The five-year cap, finally applied. This site's glossary has always described the rule that fees must be amortised over a maximum of five years however long the contract — and the code did not do it, spreading every fee across the whole contract instead. An eight-year deal was therefore charged at five-eighths of its true annual cost. The cap now applies to contracts signed from 1 July 2023, when it took effect; earlier deals are left alone, which correctly grandfathers the January 2023 contracts that prompted the rule and avoids capping long spans that are really a record of extensions rather than of one contract.

And the wage input is now the derivation. The wage bridge has been showing a derived figure beside a hand-set input since it was built, and on most pages the two disagreed. The hand-set number was anchored to a pre-window figure and never tracked the window, which is why the inputs sat high at clubs that sold heavily and low at clubs that bought. The input is now the derivation on all fourteen accounts-basis clubs, so it updates itself as deals land and the same method produces every club's number. That is what makes the league table comparable, which was the point of building the bridge.

What has not changed is how good the number is. It still rests on two assumptions — 80% of staff cost being players and coaches, and a 1.45x gross-up — and the bridge still shows both. Agreement between input and derivation means they are consistent, not that they are right.

19 Aug 2026

McNeil in, Johnson out, Gozo announced — and the swap is the one that matters SWEEP

The swap. Brennan Johnson to Everton and Dwight McNeil back, both announced 11 August, both on four years, no cash disclosed. This is the expensive half: Palace paid Tottenham a then club-record £35m for Johnson in January 2026 on a deal to 2030, so barely seven months of a 54-month spread had run and his book value is still around £30m. Under the 45-day exchange rule a swap is valued at the lower of fee and book value, which means no profit at all on a £35m asset seven months old.

Why do it, then. Relief. Johnson’s exit takes ~£12.7m/yr off the numerator — £95k/wk plus ~£7.8m of amortisation — against McNeil’s ~£6m coming back. For a club already above the 70% UEFA line rather than under the Premier League’s 85%, buying cost relief with book value is a rational trade even when it books nothing.

Gozo, announced 18 August. Held here at ADVANCED since the fee was agreed on the 8th. It landed at a reported $15m (~£11.1m) rather than the ~£10m modelled, on five years to 2031, with Real Salt Lake retaining a sell-on reported somewhere in the 20–25% band — reported inconsistently enough that no number is modelled.

15 Aug 2026

Palace reported ready to sell Muñoz at ~£25m RUMOUR ADDED

Daniel Muñoz. A reversal of the retained-list assumption: Palace are reported ready to sell at ~£25m, with Everton concrete, Glasner keen at Forest, and Barcelona, Chelsea and Inter credited. His ~£7m 2024 fee is mostly amortised, so a sale at that level books ~£19m of profit. The squad-flow chip moves from STAYS to listed.

12 Aug 2026

Guessand returns — season loan from Aston Villa, official

Evann Guessand is a Palace player again. Both clubs announced the season-long loan today — Palace’s announcement describes an option to buy, Villa’s a conditional obligation, with the trigger reported at £25m+. Cost now is wages only (~£75k/wk, tracker estimate): no fee, no amortisation — that arrives only if the clause bites in a future window. He goes straight into the squad table flagged as a loan and uses one of the two concurrent domestic loan slots. Palace remain in the Jonathan David conversation too — the Juventus striker is talking to Palace and Aston Villa both.

09 Aug 2026

Tomiyasu announced, Gozo is the first fee of the summer — and the centre-back chase moves to Disasi

Promoted to DONE: Takehiro Tomiyasu. The club announced the free-agent signing on 7 August, two days after his medical — Sage's second signing. The contract length was not disclosed, so the June 2028 end date in the squad table remains this tracker's assumption; as a free it carries no book value or amortisation either way. Added at ADVANCED: Zavier Gozo. Sky reported a ~£10m (~$15m) fee agreed with Real Salt Lake on 8 August for the 19-year-old USMNT wide player, who has been permitted to travel for his medical. Not announced by either club, so he is held at advanced — the first transfer fee Palace have committed all window, taking the buys column from £0 to ~£10m and the confirmed-plus-advanced window balance to ≈+£47m. He does NOT join the squad table or the amortisation base until the deal completes; once it does, expect roughly £2m/yr.

Added at IN TALKS: Axel Disasi. Palace submitted a loan-with-obligation-to-buy offer to Chelsea for their reported top Lacroix replacement; Chelsea preferred a straight sale and the obligation's valuation is unagreed, with personal-terms talks progressing. Counts towards nothing. New in the Rumour Mill: Youssouf Fofana (official enquiry, Milan ask ~€20m, player prefers staying), Nathan Zézé (NEOM SC — interest only in a crowded race), and the strangest item of the week: Brennan Johnson ⇄ Dwight McNeil swap talks with Everton (The Times) — flagged on the swap-rule card too, because Johnson's ~£30m book value means an exchange would book almost no profit under the 45-day rule. These affect the Chelsea and Everton pages.

Faded: Arne Engels. The Belgian is now reported to have agreed personal terms with West Ham, who have had two bids rejected and are expected back — no report has Palace bidding, so his IN TALKS row leaves the deal tables and the Rumour Mill entry is re-tagged. Progressed but unagreed: Njie — Palace tabled an improved package reported around €19m including bonuses on 8–9 August, which Torino are weighing; Sarr — Palace rejected Fenerbahçe's ~€20m and reportedly want ~€40m, so the "said yes" saga is now a price stand-off; Esse — Palace lodged a counter-proposal to Club Brugge on 8 August with a small valuation gap left. Wharton's queue gained Chelsea (talks reported, no bid; Palace insist not for sale); Le Guen, Mateta, Ozoh, Agyemang, Louza, Jabol-Folcarelli and Guessand are unchanged. Fees committed this window: ~£10m; profit banked: still ~£48m; the window's annual cost swing stays negative at ≈−£2.4m/yr.

05 Aug 2026

Matsima collapses, Tomiyasu passes a medical — and Palace reach August without paying a fee

The big correction: the Chrislain Matsima deal is dead. This page carried him as ADVANCED at ~£26m and even inside the squad table. In fact Augsburg ended negotiations on 30 July — bids of €20m then €25m were rejected and the clubs could not agree add-ons or the payment structure, so the player returned to Augsburg's training camp. He has been removed from the incomings table, from the squad, from List A's defensive intake and from every derived figure. Knock-ons: squad book value falls ~£26m, the derived annual amortisation drops ~£5m/yr (which pulls the estimated squad cost ratio down, not up), and committed spend on signings this window is now £0.

Added at the right rung. Takehiro Tomiyasu — ADVANCED: Romano reported a "here we go" this afternoon, medical passed in London, contract to be signed inside 48 hours. Free agent since leaving Ajax; he has been training with Sage's squad as a trialist. Not announced by the club, so not marked done. Danny Imray — DONE: he is not a vague "development exit" any more, he signed for Wrexham on 29 July on a four-year deal for an undisclosed fee (ESPN reports ~£5m); academy product, £0 book value, so it is near-pure profit. Mylo Bernard — ADVANCED: the 16-year-old striker is reported agreed with Arsenal on training compensation after his schoolboy registration lapsed — this affects the Arsenal page. Ismaïla Sarr and Romain Esse — IN TALKS: Sarr has said yes to Fenerbahçe with the clubs still negotiating and no fee agreed; Club Brugge had an opening ~€8m + €2m bid for Esse rejected, with personal terms reportedly already in place. Both are live outgoings and now appear on the table at talks stage, counting towards nothing.

Demoted: Raphaël Le Guen drops from ADVANCED to IN TALKS. Personal terms were agreed in late July, but Brest rejected Palace's opening bid and no fee exists — "terms agreed" is not a deal. A ~£12m figure is now reported as being on the table; it is an estimate, not a struck fee. Removed: Charlie Cresswell leaves the Rumour Mill — Rennes agreed a €25m deal with Toulouse for him. Added to the Rumour Mill: Alieu Njie (Torino, ~€10m up front rejected on 4 Aug, Palace readying an improved bid), Imran Louza (Watford — enquiry only, Como now rivalling, no fee reported), Patrick Agyemang (Derby, ~£20m, race with Leeds) and outgoing David Ozoh (Derby and Hull keen at ~£5m — affects the Hull page). Ismaëlo Ganiou is deliberately not added: Palace shelved that pursuit on 3 Aug when Lens valued him at €50m.

Also updated: Mateta's entry now reflects the reported new contract offer running to 2030 (Schira) rather than a pure standoff — he has not signed it and nobody has bid this window. Wharton is re-tagged NO BID LANDED. The window ledger now reads ~£57m in, £0 out, and the annual squad-cost swing from this window has turned negative — this is a window that is shrinking Palace's cost base while adding ~£48m of sale profit to both squad-cost denominators. Under the bonnet, the sales and outgoing-totals calculations were tightened to count only done/advanced rows, so the new in-talks outgoings cannot leak into the headline balance.

19 Aug 2026

Khalaili signed — Palace’s first completed fee of the window, and a medical someone else failed NEW DEAL

What happened. Anan Khalaili joined from Union Saint-Gilloise on 15 August, five-year deal, €24.5m (~£21m), subject to international clearance. He is the most expensive Israeli player in history and, at 21, a senior non-homegrown arrival. This page had no card for him at all, which is the gap being closed.

What it does to the numbers. ~£4.2m/yr of amortisation and ~£4m/yr of grossed-up wages, so about £8m on the numerator — roughly two points of ratio. It also displaces the framing that had ~£10m for Gozo as Palace’s first fee of the summer: Gozo is still only agreed, Khalaili is announced, so Khalaili is the one on the books.

The bit a finance page should not skip. Inter agreed a fee for him weeks ago and the move collapsed because he was not given medical clearance — their president said so publicly. Palace signed him regardless. Nothing in the squad cost ratio prices that, and this page will not pretend otherwise: the amortisation runs for five years whether or not the player does.

04 Aug 2026

Methodology: squad-cost amortisation now derives from the squad contracts

The headroom model's amortisation input used to be a hand-maintained estimate, while the Squad tab computed the same thing bottom-up from every player's fee and contract dates. The two had drifted apart — by up to £29m across the league, which is several points of squad cost ratio on pages whose whole purpose is showing how close a club sits to a compliance line. The hero model now takes its amortisation straight from the squad contracts, so the headline ratio and the squad table can no longer disagree, and the figure updates itself whenever the squad data changes. The field is still editable: type over it and the what-if model responds as before. Wages remain a stated estimate — clubs publish total staff costs, not the players-plus-head-coach slice the rule needs, so that split is still this tracker's assumption and is labelled as one.

04 Aug 2026

Full rebuild of the transfer record from source — Brennan Johnson restored

Rebuilt both windows from a complete source list rather than patching the existing table, which is how the biggest error survived three passes: Brennan Johnson (£35m from Tottenham, announced 3 January 2026) was missing from the page entirely — absent from the 2025/26 ins, the squad table, the book-value and amortisation totals and the Conference League List A. He is now added throughout. The knock-ons: 2025/26 gross spend corrected from ~£99m to ~£134m (January alone was £83m, not £48m); squad book value rises ~£177m → ~£208m and annual amortisation ~£59m → ~£67m as his ~£8m/yr charge joins Strand Larsen's ~£11m/yr; List A forwards go from 5 retained to 6. The club-record narrative is fixed too — Johnson beat Benteke's £32m on 3 January and held the record for five weeks until Strand Larsen's £48m.

Corrected: the Evann Guessand loan is no longer described as having had no buy option — the January deal did carry an option to buy, which Palace declined to exercise before it lapsed on 30 June. That changes the reading of the mooted permanent return: it is a negotiation from scratch because the option was passed up, not because none existed. Fixed in the outgoings note, the 2025/26 ins note and the Rumour Mill entry.

Checked and left alone: Lacroix to Chelsea is correctly logged as done at £52m (announced 30 July). Marc Guéhi's £20m move to Manchester City stays in the 2025/26 table where it belongs — it completed on 19 January 2026 and is not summer business, whatever a cross-page check suggests. Benítez, Sosa and Pino remain 2025 summer arrivals, not 2026 ones. Mingueza (free, 9 July) is the only completed incoming of this window; Matsima and Le Guen stay flagged advanced until announced, and Engels stays in the Rumour Mill. Squad-cost-ratio and PSR inputs are unchanged — no deal in this window has moved them.

27 Jul 2026

Page launched

The Bean Counter's Crystal Palace tracker goes live at bean-counter.co.uk/crystal-palace. Launch dataset: FY2024/25 accounts (revenue £196.6m, wages £148.3m, pre-tax +£8.3m) via the published analyses; the estimated 2023/24–2025/26 PSR cycle (never close to the £105m line); the full 2025 demotion/CAS timeline and the clean sanctions ledger; summer 2026 window as reported to date — Lacroix £52m to Chelsea (medical done 24 Jul), Mingueza free (9 Jul), Matsima ~£26m advanced, Le Guen terms agreed, Clyne released, Uche and Guessand loan-ends; squad book values recomputed daily on straight-line amortisation; the Rumour Mill seeded with Engels, Cresswell, Jabol-Folcarelli, Wharton and Mateta; League tab covering all 20 clubs' SCR tiers and FY25 accounts; and the adjustable 70% squad-cost model (defaults: £240m revenue, £55m avg sale profit, £212m squad cost). All estimates labelled as such.

Glossary

Every rule in this tracker, in plain English — each with a real Palace example. For the group chat member who just asked "what's SCR?"

PSR (Profit & Sustainability Rules)
The Premier League's rule capping losses at £105m over a rolling three-year period (£35m/yr), after 'good' spending on academy, infrastructure, community and women's football is deducted. Palace have never been charged in twelve PL seasons and end the final cycle an estimated £90m+ inside the line. One last assessment in January 2027, then the rule retires.
Squad Cost Ratio (UEFA SCR)
UEFA's rule limiting spending on the squad — player and head-coach wages, transfer amortisation and agent fees — to 70% of football revenue plus net transfer profit, tested on a calendar-year basis. Applies to Palace as a Europa League club; this tracker's estimate hovers at the line, which is why the window is sell-first.
PL Squad Cost Ratio (PL SCR)
The Premier League's replacement for PSR from 2026/27, approved 14–6 in November 2025 — Palace voted against. Same cost base as UEFA's rule, tested on a season basis: green threshold 70% of revenue for clubs in Europe (85% otherwise), red threshold above it. Palace face an October checkpoint and a March 2027 assessment.
Football Earnings Rule (FER)
UEFA's successor to break-even: clubs may lose no more than €60m over three years (with add-ons), counting only football earnings — crucially, profits from selling players count, but intra-group asset sales do not. Palace's player-sale profits are real football earnings, which is why their FER position is comfortable without any accounting gymnastics.
Multi-Club Ownership Rule (UEFA Art. 5)
No one may hold decisive influence over two clubs in the same UEFA competition, assessed on a 1 March snapshot. The only rule that has ever sanctioned Palace: John Textor's Palace/Lyon stakes cost the club its 2025/26 Europa League place, upheld by CAS — resolved when Woody Johnson bought him out.
CFCB
UEFA's Club Financial Control Body — the panel that judges compliance, imposes fines and agrees settlements. It demoted Palace in July 2025 (ownership, not money) and has never fined them a penny.
Settlement Agreement
A negotiated compliance plan with UEFA in place of escalating punishment: annual targets, monitoring, suspended penalties. Palace have none — see the Fined Four table on the Headroom tab for what one looks like from the outside.
List A
A club's registered senior squad for UEFA competition, capped at 25 with homegrown quotas — minimum 8 locally-trained places, of which at least 4 club-trained, or the list shrinks. Palace's Europa League list is due ~2 September; the club-trained count is the tight spot.
Amortisation
Spreading a transfer fee as a cost over the contract length. Strand Larsen's £48m on a 4½-year deal costs ~£10.7m/yr in the books — which is why fees are judged per-year while sales count at once.
Five-Year Amortisation Cap
UEFA and PL rule that fees must be amortised over a maximum of five years even on longer contracts — closing the eight-year-contract loophole Chelsea made famous.
Book Value
What's left of a player's fee still to be amortised. Sale profit = fee minus book value. Academy players carry £0 book value, which is why selling Eze and Guehi was almost pure profit — and why Wharton's £18m fee against a £100m valuation makes bean counters stare.
Pure Profit
Shorthand for selling a £0-book-value player (academy graduate or free transfer): the entire fee lands as profit for PSR/FER purposes. The engine of modern compliance — and of Palace's model, from Wan-Bissaka to Eze.
45-Day Exchange Rule
UEFA Annex G.3.5: opposite-direction transfers between the same clubs within 45 days on similar payment terms are treated as a player exchange, valued at the LOWER of fee and book value — slashing bookable profit. Palace's straight-cash sales (Lacroix to Chelsea with no reverse deal) sit safely outside it.
PL 4% Transfer Levy
A 4% surcharge on transfer fees paid by Premier League clubs, funding player pension and education schemes. It capitalises into the registration cost and amortises with the fee — a £25m Engels would really cost ~£26m.
FIFA Solidarity Contribution
Up to 5% of an international transfer fee distributed to the clubs that trained the player between ages 12 and 23. Rides inside the transfer cost for compliance purposes.
Intra-Group Asset Sale
Selling an asset (women's team, real estate) to a company under the same ownership to book profit. PSR allowed it at fair value; UEFA's FER never did, and the PL's new SCR closes it. Palace have never used the device — their profits are all players.
Sell-On Clause
A percentage of any future sale owed to a selling club. QPR's reported sell-on took a slice of the £67.5m Eze fee, and Chelsea's did the same on Guehi's move to City — the quiet tax on even the purest profit.
Senior Loan Quotas
Limits on loan signings: domestically, max 2 concurrent (4 per season) from English clubs and never two from the same club; internationally, max 6 senior loans (over-21, non-club-trained) with U21 and academy players exempt. Palace currently use none of them.
SSR (Sustainability & Systemic Resilience)
The PL's incoming liquidity and solvency tests running alongside the squad cost rules — proving clubs can actually pay their bills. Palace's £50m debt waiver and equity conversions in FY25 read like early homework.
Headroom
The gap between current squad cost and the 70% line — the practical transfer budget. On this tracker's defaults Palace's is barely £2–3m a year of cost — about one mid-price signing — which is why the window runs sell-first: the Lacroix fee IS the headroom.
Calendar vs Season Test
UEFA tests the ratio over the calendar year (Palace's 2026 number freezes 31 December); the PL tests the season (assessment March 2027). The same window of sales improves both, on different clocks — the Guehi and Lacroix profits both land inside calendar 2026.